The point of the Tyrannical/Fortified split is to mirror the idea that they’re effectively equal modes of the same difficulty, so as far as Blizzard is concerned, their intent is that the achievement of score combining Tyrannical and Fortified weeks is the same requirement as what came before.
Now I disagree entirely with that premise from them, but it’s also completely irrelevant AGAIN to what was being said.
That will happen at some point in the future, but they haven’t actually announced exactly when it will be. What you’re quoting isn’t stating that it will happen on the week following Sept 6. For all we know, we’ll have a phase where there are 2 Fated Raids available every week first, then it’ll go to 3. Again for all we know, the until is referencing the Dragonflight prepatch hitting, and that’s when the rotation gets removed. We’ve been given no idea how long SEason 4 is expected to last.
11k.
And yes, I’m fully aware. Are you aware of how random number generation works?
Let’s take even just Gambit. It has a 2h weapon in its drop table, while Streets does not, so that’s the best possible context we’ve got.
Gambit has 8 items that drop for Ret.
If you’re doing, say, a +15 and timing every time, you have a 2/5 chance to be the person who loots an item, and a 1/8 chance for that item to be a weapon (assuming all drops are weighted equally). Statistically speaking, especially over a sample of a few hundred thousand people, there are a lot of those people who will do 56 runs and never see the weapon drop.
We’re not even talking statistical anomalies here. For THAT example, there are obviously 1% drop items that many, many people have had 2,000+ tries on and never seen, even though on average you would expect to see one drop every 100 attempts. That is how RNG works, my dude. You cannot use “will” or “certainly” when talking about RNG. Come on now, this is basic math. You have to be smarter than this.