S30 Predictions (Updated w/ Soul Shards)

Hello D3 community,

I am publishing an updated predictions of max leaderboard clears for each Class Set, based on Historical Clears (including S25 data), Altar of Rites 2.0, and Set/Item edits from the 2.7.7 patch notes.

Please refer to the S30 Prediction column to see the outcome from our community’s most motivated players. For more details visit this Google Sheet:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1scobvuJ7m6ioSL1KXHJPENyTpbnPRfrbPgTBsgRomfc/

Per the final patch notes, these numbers were updated on January 6th, 2024.

Set Baseline S30 Buff/Nerf Altar Power Soul Shards S30 Prediction
Barb H90 147.2 1.8 8.5 157.5
Barb IK 148.6 1.8 8.5 158.9
Barb Wastes 148.6 1.8 8.5 158.9
Barb MOTE 145.9 3 1.8 8.5 159.2
Barb Raekor 152 -5 1.8 8.5 157.3
Barb No Set 149 1.8 8.5 159.3
Crusader AoV 146.6 -2 1.8 8.5 154.9
Crusader Seeker 141.1 1 1.8 8.5 152.4
Crusader Roland 140.8 5 1.8 8.5 156.1
Crusader Invoker 144.7 1.8 8.5 155
Crusader Akkhan 151.4 -2.5 1.8 8.5 159.2
Crusader No Set 147.2 1.8 8.5 157.5
DH GoD 144.8 1.8 8.5 155.1
DH Natalya 148.8 1.8 8.5 159.1
DH Unhallowed 146.4 1.8 8.5 156.7
DH Shadow 144.2 3 1.8 8.5 157.5
DH Marauder 151 -1.3 1.8 8.5 160
DH No Set 141.2 1.8 8.5 151.5
Monk PoJ 144.4 2 1.8 8.5 156.7
Monk Inna 145.3 1.8 8.5 155.6
Monk Uliana 145.8 2 1.8 8.5 158.1
Monk Monkey King 144.4 1.8 8.5 154.7
Monk Raiment 142.9 5 1.8 8.5 158.2
Monk No Set 151 -6 1.8 8.5 155.3
Necro Masquerade 146.9 -3 1.8 8.5 154.2
Necro Pestilence 135.0 * 9 1.8 8.5 154.3
Necro Inarius 147.9 0 1.8 8.5 158.2
Necro Trag’oul 152.6 -7 1.8 8.5 155.9
Necro Rathma 151.2 1.8 8.5 161.5
Necro No Set 150.6 -1.3 1.8 8.5 159.6
WD Mundunugu 145.3 -1 1.8 8.5 154.6
WD Arachyr 149.5 -5 1.8 8.5 154.8
WD Zunimassa 145.3 -1 1.8 8.5 154.6
WD Helltooth 142.9 5 1.8 8.5 158.2
WD Jade Harvester 144.6 6 1.8 8.5 160.9
WD No Set 144.1 1.8 8.5 154.4
Wiz Typhon 147.8 1.8 8.5 158.1
Wiz Tal Rasha 153.9 -7 1.8 8.5 157.2
Wiz Delsere 148.8 3 1.8 8.5 162.1
Wiz Vyr 144.8 1.8 8.5 155.1
Wiz Firebird 148 1.8 8.5 158.3
Wiz No Set 152 -3 1.8 8.5 159.3

Legend

  • Baseline the top-adjusted clear from past and current eras, or, top clears from Season 28 (stripped of the average gain from the S28 Altar of Rites [-8.8 tiers]. We maintain a ledger with set power uninfluenced by seasonal mechanics to serve baseline clears before the introduction 2.7.7/S30 modifications.
  • S30 Buff/Nerf accounts for the set and item edits found in the Class Power Changes section of the patch notes.
  • Altar Power an across-the-board +1.8 tier buff from Altar of Rites 2.0.
  • Soul Shards the average power gained from equipping 2 Soul Shards.
  • S30 Prediction the expected peak adjusted clear after considering all relevant factors.

Other Pertinent Links

Season 25 Soul Shard Analysis
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1RlNzF-0W-CtJVot4f9OfpPVdhDvc90vZsKrjVzlRWwM/

State of Set Cross Check
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17D1e7NDzbzcypK36ErNMW4NhzczYEBmieb2LSjR-dyk/

26 Likes

Based on the predictions, it looks like they are really trying to null them all out to 150.

Personally I think they should null them out to 140, and leave 150 shrouded behind a “wall of impossibility”… But I guess that’s just me. :smiling_imp:

6 Likes

I calculated that TR Meteor would have a 10 GR drop. Still I fully expect it do GR150.

You’re not alone. There nothing wrong for having a difficulty that is borderline beyond reach.

5 Likes

Necro no set might be a litttle higher. I have done 150 with it before, lol. Did they nerf the actual blood nova pieces or just the set?

1 Like

Bloodtide Blade got a nerf so all Nova builds took a hit.

1 Like

ahhh ok. I got my A6/Captain/Aughild falcon dude all queued up and rdy to rock. My inventory is a little too full to find things. Blame those fissures. Gonna nuke most of it once I copy over.

1 Like

The chart in the original post has been updated to include the power from Soul Shards.

Thank you for your patience.

2 Likes

All 150+. Heeeehaw!

And people were worried about the altar nerfs.

5 Likes

160 mote LOL good times indeed

Wow… Now I really think they need to aim for a base of 140… That way there’s +10 GR’s worth of “play” that can be soaked up with the recycling of the power from themes. :worried:

altar or not im gonna put on my leapquake gear later and explore this. althou any barb build is gonna get like 50 tiers with the ring of fire. that thing is so fun.

1 Like

Great analysis (as usual). Two things to note about Monk:

  • PoJ: the 6p buff in the tooltip was finally applied in the current patch, so the baseline (and hence S30 prediction) should be about ~2 tiers higher than listed
  • LoD: according to the patch notes, the 150% multiplier on Kyoshiro’s Blade was removed in 2.7.7. Remains to be tested in PTR, but if true this is about a ~6 tier nerf to WoL.
2 Likes

Thanks for the heads up on PoJ and the Blade.

The chart has been updated to reflect those changes.

1 Like

I checked the gear on my non-seasonal monk and yes, the base 150% damage has been removed. So while it’s easier to proc the big damage boost, this is still overall nerf.

2 Likes

Huh. I am really impressed with how balanced that list seems to be. I only play a few builds and have ignored most of the others, but getting nearly 50 different setups to the same power level, plus or minus 5%, that’s closer than I would have expected them to be able to slot it.

… And then there’s No Set DH. Can we get a FoK buff sometime please? (because nobody in their right minds would enjoy Rapid Fire)

2 Likes

I personally requested an LGF buff in 2.6.9. Maybe by 2.7.9?

2 Likes

Bruh imagine nerfing the single hardest build to gear for in the game when it hasn’t even been top dog since the Crucible days. Feelsbadman.

Yeah WoL is one of my favorite builds so it is a downer that it’s getting nerfed. But at least this puts it more in line with the other Monk builds.

2 Likes

But again, this build is way harder to gear for than anything else lol. Why run it at all now, if its performance is the same/weaker?