Why isn't the axe dropping?

[Saurfäng-thrall]

ok on my dk, you can see I have 15 kills and 29 lesser embers.

why has the axe not dropped? its supposed to be 100% after the 14th kill according to you guys.

[Darthwraith-blackhand (Darthwraith)]

Bad rng but no one here can tell u why its not dropping.

[Kozzae-doomhammer (Kozzae)]

Sorry, what axe?

For those not in the know.

[Saurfäng-thrall]

Datamining Fyr'alath Legendary Drop Rates - Bad Luck Protection Values Revealed

that axe.

[Kozzae-doomhammer (Kozzae)]

MrMee

15 DAYS AGOPATCH 10.2.5

Just got my 15th heroic kill, no AXE.

I’m not sure where the number of kills needed was stated, but it looks like it wasn’t.

[Vrakthris]

The information doesn’t appear to be officially from us, Saurfang.

Disclaimers

Please read the following disclaimers.

1. This data is not labeled. There’s no “Fyr’alath Legendary Drop Rate” tag, but based on multiple factors, we assume that this is related to the Fyr’alath Bad Luck Protection (BLP). This could not be related, but we do think it is.

If you feel you have encountered a bug, you’ll want to submit a bug report. Otherwise, we’re not able to provide details about drop rates, etc…

[Kozzae-doomhammer (Kozzae)]

Bad Luck Protection on Legendary Axe and How It Works

Greetings heroes of the Dream! While Mythic champions begin to harness the intense Shadowflame within Fyr’alath the Dream Render, we’d like to share some details on how other denizens of Azeroth may get their hands on this igneous item. We have observed many thousands of Evokers swooping down into Aberrus to forge their new legacy and heard their triumphant roars echoing eternally upon acquiring Nasz’uro. We’ve also heard feedback about how this process felt for players and have made some adju…

[Saurfäng-thrall]

it was stated in the table. number of greater embers, 14 equalts 100% drop chance on kill
so given that the 14th kill gives you the 14th ember, makes your 15th kill 100%.

well its not.

and responding to vrakthris, you guys always point us to wowhead as a resource, but now that im using it, suddenly its not good enough? : /

[Vrakthris]

Thanks, Kozzae, I didn’t see that one posted. I didn’t see any specific numbers of guarantees to receive it at a certain point, but that would probably be something you’d want to bring up with our Game Developers and Community Managers. Customer Support wouldn’t be able to provide any specifics.

[Vralok-turalyon (Vralok)]

Wowhead is a player-run resource. There is no official data there. Bottom line - Blizzard staff do not give game hints. Anything you see on drop rates is an estimate. And even if the drop rate given is accurate at (I’m making up a number) 15%, that doesn’t mean if you kill it x number of times you get it. It means you have a 15% chance of it dropping every time. No event influences any other event. I can flip a coin 10 times and land on heads every time. And the fact that I landed on heads 10 times in a row doesn’t suddenly make the universe “owe” me a tails.

[Vrakthris]

@Saurfäng-thrall

and responding to vrakthris, you guys always point us to wowhead as a resource, but now that im using it, suddenly its not good enough? : /

A resource to help with some game information and game play, yes, but information on Wowhead isn’t an official announcement from Blizzard.

[Amaelalin-cenarion-circle (Amaelalin)]

This is a little different as involved with the axe is bad luck protection, so it’s not a flat chance.

However all the data was mined and interpolated… so who knows. Could be off.