Mount Farming, How Many Tries?

[Delro-emerald-dream]

@Baradakas-terenas

a mount with a 1% drop rate, drops ON AVERAGE 1 time in 100 attempts.

I’m not a fan of of using the average to determine how long you can expect a mount farm to take. I typed up a comprehensive post a while back about using percentiles instead.

Rare Drops: Defining Lucky/Unlucky

In threads about mount drops or other rare items, I often see people answer the question “How many attempts will I need before I get the item?” with “It’s random, so it could take 1 attempt, or it could never drop.” That answer always annoys me because, while it’s technically true, it’s not helpful, and it can make players believe that getting a drop after 100 attempts is as likely as getting a drop after 1000 attempts. Or equivalently, there are an equal number of players who will get a…