I still remember the days when people were dupe hacking them and selling them on the AH to make a quick buck.
omg i remember that
No, it’s a bad pun.
Bad necro is bad
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Invincible, a problem? Really?
I just don’t see it.
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Invincible took me years of running that raid on multiple characters. It took me longer to get Experiment. I’m all for rare mounts, but I don’t think they need to be THAT rare.
Wasn’t my joke, wasn’t my post you were responding to. I’m just the guy pointing out the apparent absence of your sense of humor, as evidenced by your need to correct a year-old post.
Loot is calculated when the mob dies.
You people need to get these mounts when they are still relevant, and their drop rates are still 100%. Most now are either changed to be extremely low or are removed from the game.
The trick for me was to let other people in the house loot the boss after I defeated it. I need to use other people’s luck.
They allow us to cage and sell pets well why not mounts too? Just sell the “cage” on the trading post for 10,000 tenders.
Or make any drops after the first one BOE, so after a player gets invincible they can try and get another one to sell.
if that was the case id have 4 HH mounts 2 ashes and lots more to sell
I see this still confuses people to this day.
The mount has a 0.77% chance to drop. That’s the independent probability of the mount dropping and you are correct that it doesn’t go up with each attempt.
What is being calculated is the probability of the event occurring as a whole; we all know that if you flip a coin it’s a 50-50 shot each time, but if you flip it a thousand times everyone would bet that it landed on heads at least once.
TWith a 0.77% drop chance that means you should average seeing invincible every 130 runs and you can continue to extrapolate beyond that because the mount is definitely not guaranteed after 130 runs becuase of that and the chance is rather decent that you haven’t seen it still even at 200 or 300 attempts.
And when you get to 2600 runs that the OP claimed they did (maybe true maybe not) the probability of not seeing a 0.77% drop is abymsally low so it’d be a very safe bet to make that the 0.77% event has occurred at least once in that series of 2600 attempts, and realisitically probably more like 3 or 4 times.
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Stop acting like you’re so invisible, we’re only human.
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It’s literally a simulation - it’s math.
A better part of a year is 183 days. x20 attempts per day is 3660 attempts at a 1.6% drop rate.
The probability that you experienced this is calculable - it’s .0000000005% (rounding up).
The problem isn’t “math and statistics”, the problem is people believe their luck is worse than it is because after awhile they genuinely believe the exaggerations and lies that they tell themselves or they experience a strong perception skew.
There’s zero shot you killed Anzu 3660 times without seeing the mount.
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I have a concern that maybe Invincible already dropped for me, but I just didn’t see it. 
OMNI MAN IS A EVEN BIGGER PROBLEM. 
/10char
How do you know you even got the mount if you can’t see it? 
Did this thread get necro’d to try to bring back the OP who got murdered in the 4th post?
Actually, there’s a 0,0000000005% shot of exactly that happening, because, as you said,…
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