So I’ll go down the list and comment on your statements/ answer questions in order.
Yes as far as mage, they do have CC so they are at least useful utility wise, but as you eluded to with dmg that is the same thing I was eluding to. Their dmg is incredibly low in PvP which causes them to struggle in 1vs1’s.
My point about the gear is that people are calling for nerfs on an ability that is only good against ungeared players.
There are counters to it. The vast majority of players aren’t going to space perfectly the entire fight. Your assumption that druids are spacing perfectly never allowing for others to use their gap closers is just unrealistic. Even the best pvp’ers in the world do not space perfectly all the time. There are so many ways that the player can cause the druid to mess up their spacing.
Most 1vs1’s we can only look at from a non-raid geared perspective mostly as there just isn’t enough players currently that are BIS yet to be able to see how match ups actually go down at lvl 25 end game. A good example of this is that the majority of warriors I’ve faced are ungeared so I’m easily able to kill them as a feral druid in melee without having to do any kiting, but druids don’t scale as well with gear as warriors do. I’ve ran in to a couple warriors who are full raid geared and they nearly 2-3 shot me. So once the majority of warriors are geared I will definitely have to play differently vs them.
I’m alliance so I don’t know how paladins do.
Rogue it just depends on gear/skill of the rogue. Some rogues are super easy, some are very difficult.
Priests are a guaranteed win probably for feral, and i would assume balance as well although a priest might be able to beat a balance druid.
Hunters again just depends on their skill and gear, they vary from super easy to extremely difficult.
Druid vs druid, feral spec will always win from my experience. I don’t come anywhere close to losing to balance druids and that’s without ever healing myself. I only need to do heals against other ferals.
Shamans have a cast time on ghost wolf so it’s irrelevant in a fight unless they are running away from you. I don’t see a balance druid being able to do well against a shaman.
Warlocks are a tough fight. If they aren’t a meta lock, balance druids will never do enough dmg to kill the warlock before the warlock can kill the druid. Feral can kill non-meta lock warlocks but it’s a close fight. Balance druids do better against meta locks than ferals do but still don’t see a balance druid being able to do enough dmg to kill the lock.
Overall balance druids using sunfire is just an inferior spec to feral in the majority of situations in PvP.