I’ll start by saying… this is my own totally made up theory. I don’t have any evidence here.
Blizzard has continuously been working on reducing realm management. Since 2019 Classic they’ve consistently moved towards less realms, and more passive management of those realms (auto faction balancing, locking). They want to reduce the human employee toil that comes with managing these realms.
They’ve also made efforts to reduce the devops/sysadmin toil of managing the infrastructure. We’ve seen them consolidate clients for all versions of wow, we’ve seen them add layering tech to scale instead of horizontal scaling with additional realms.
This leads us to Anniversary, which is the latest iteration in their progress to reduce administrative toil. One PvP and one PvE realm*. No RP variants. Deployment of massive layering tech. Near elimination of administrative toil to realms. The realms manage themselves now!
*I am excluding OCE here. I know it exists. It seems it’s about to bite them in the butt, and further reinforce their golden path to less realms = less management. They’re eventually going to have to intervene and manually manage the OCE realm, likely with Free Character Moves + locking the realm to bail them out.
So how does this relate to Era I’m sure you’re wondering? We’re on the legacy setup still (no pun intended to the guild I’m in lol). Era has a dozen realms. Multiple clusters of realms. Multiple realms uncluttered. It’s objectively a mess compared to their modern approach to realm management. I don’t like it… I want more, smaller, uncluttered realms. But admittedly it’s confusing unless you’re One Of Us playing era regularly.
It’s not obvious which realms are active. It’s not obvious which realms are clustered. It’s not obvious what a cluster even means. It’s not obvious that there’s uncluttered realms with smaller communities. It’s not obvious that Whitemane and Mankirk are the defacto realms. I know… to you, it may be VERY obvious. But we’re over on era living and breathing it. We know. But newcomers do not. All you have to do is look in this forum or Reddit and you’ll see dozens of posts asking “what era server should I play on” or something like that.
If they clean up the realm management strategy, it’s a much easier journey for new players. PvP or PvE? Again, I don’t agree. I want many smaller realms. I want RP variants. But the writing is on the wall imo. It’s more work for blizzard and they’ve trended more and more to less realms and passive management.
So when is this going to happen, if it does? I believe once Anniversary realms end. My theory is that they will merge the Era realms into PvP and PvE only. Perhaps will be Whitemane and Mankirk, and everything else is merged (not clustered). Perhaps they clone Anniversary outright into Era and we have Nightslayer and Dreamsycthe, with the era realms merged into those. Perhaps we have new realms we all clone to. I don’t know exactly, but I believe we’ll see a reduction to two Era realms once anniversary ends.
I also want to note, I don’t buy that these realms are expensive in terms of compute/storage/networking. I know some people will say “oh how expensive could it be to run all these realms”. I don’t think that’s the issue. I think it’s actually very cheap for them to keep many realms up. It’s the human expense having their ops team manage multiple realms, running the active management of populations, dealing with requests from us on Grobbulus when we complain about bots and exploitations of FCMs or restoring the transfer service. Players opening tickets about clones. Players being confused where to play. That’s the cost to me that they’re looking to reduce. Not just the pure infra cost. Though I’d guess two realms with auto scaling infinite layers is likely cheaper too, in addition to being cheaper to manage.