A terran winning 4 games in a row means nothing

[ZtAbhEt-1813]

@WildWolf-127763

This is sad, I miss the old forums where you can more easily identify the same old trolls. But now ppl like Shonix can freely make 100 accounts and each and every time he gets embarrassed and discredited, he can come back with a new name on a clean slate

Here is a fun one. Shonix blasts the creator of the thread for using a “non randomized” sample when he uses ladder stats to estimate the number of smurf accounts. Shonix then proceeds to say he, and other “high-level” players, can recognize smurfs and estimates they happen once in every 20 games, which is much less than the OP estimates.

In other words, he is saying an estimation on ladder data is wrong because it’s non-randomized, meanwhile his anecdotal estimations based on his own play are MUCH more accurate. He does this while claiming to have a Masters in statistics. I kid you not!

Smurfs: The Good, the Bad & the Ugly - Q&A

You didn’t answer the question. What was your method to confirm smurfs ? Pro tip for your source then : If P = 1/x is the probability for a regular player to meet a smurf Then the probability of two smurfs meeting isn’t P, but P x P, in other words (1/x) x (1/x) What you did there with the highly factual “I know 'cause I’m higher level” completely non standardized biased method, wasn’t in fact evaluating the probability of playing a smurf, but the probability of a smurf playing another s…

He gets absolutely taken to the cleaners by Trias, then starts spouting BS like this:

@Cheezecake-1895

You are entitled to your own opinion, but as someone who has coached hundreds of people I highly highly disagree, lower leagued players are ** very ** bad at trying to analyse their own games, so they cannot identify these “small” differences in skill at all