Armor Patch Stats (1 week out) - Were your predictions right?

Hey Everyone,

I thought it would be interesting to visit the patch after a week and see how it is looking. We can do this after 2 weeks or a month as well. Data is good. Did your predictions about who was going to be a winner/loser work out?

Below are the changes in pick rates and win rates for the tank heroes, Brig, and Reaper.

General Stats

Hero Pick Rate Before Pick Rate After Win Rate Before Win Rate After
Reinhardt 12.30% 12.14% 51.75% 51.21%
Orisa 1.75% 1.82% 51.89% 52.34%
Winston 2.77% 2.58% 48.39% 48.25%
Hammond 1.83% 1.89% 51.28% 51.14%
Zarya 6.55% 6.57% 51.01% 50.80%
D.Va 5.41% 4.73% 51.26% 50.04%
Roadhog 3.02% 3.11% 50.11% 50.24%
Brigitte 2.35% 2.04% 55.31% 53.76%
Reaper 1.99% 4.05% 49.9% 54.05%

GM Stats

Hero Pick Rate Before Pick Rate After Win Rate Before Win Rate After
Reinhardt 11.97% 11.40% 54.34% 53.92%
Orisa 1.11% 1.30% 56.83% 55.30%
Winston 4.63% 4.94% 53.87% 53.71%
Hammond 2.16% 2.81% 52.29% 53.16%
Zarya 11.06% 9.92% 54.64% 54.47%
D.Va 8.53% 6.67% 52.35% 52.20%
Roadhog 1.19% 1.55% 53.07% 55.28%
Brigitte 5.14% 3.83% 54.02% 52.23%
Reaper 0.08% 1.02% 45.45% 58.86%

The biggest changes in pick and win rates were to D.Va, Brigitte, and Reaper as expected.

What I didn’t expect personally was the win rate change to Reaper in GM or the drop in pick rate to Zarya in GM. What things in this list surprise you?

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Reaper now tears through the DVa, Zarya and Brigitte because his self healing is high enough that they can’t kill him most of the time.

That sums up the patch.

1 Like

A 59% winrate is diseased. I do not understand these multi-buff patches. They never land that hero in a good spot; They land the hero in an OP spot that sets loose a chain of poorly considered compensation nerfs over the next year.

2 Likes

I’m not surprised by the reaper rates in gm, he’s picked so little that a nice buff like this was bound to skyrocket his win rate.

The few people that play him are now able to do more there, and everyone else isn’t working around it properly yet and likely never expect Reapzo to do good in the first place.

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His win rate did go up by 13.41 points though. And his pick rate also went up, 12.75x what it was before.

It’s still only 1.02%, but it was 0.08% before, so you know most of those people aren’t Reaper mains.

About as expected. Kneejerk reactions, for the most part these will level out in the coming weeks and we’ll be back to the same. Goats isnt dead either. Blizzard still dont understand what enables goats.

Yup…it’s now clearer than ever that no one overreacted to these armor changes…just look at those crazy different numbers!!!

A week’s data isn’t enough to prove it he’s truly unbalanced, so for now we can only assume he is being massively underestimated up there since he’s normally considered a trash pick.

Lets give it more time. It’s concerning but not really alarming to me yet.

Most are in the same ballpark, but D.Va, Brigitte, and Reaper did have rather large swings. They did truly get big changes.

I agree we need more time. I took data before the patch. Here’s the data 1 week out. I’m curious about 2 weeks from now, a month.

Pick rate changes are usually just people’s reaction to the changes, but win rate changes are not normally. Those are usually more grounded in reality. But sometimes people adapt and learn and things change.