Can someone fix this?
It isnât though. Unless you actually show proof you are getting mirrors literally every ARAM.
Itâs just 2% chance. You should get a mirror 2 out of 100 games.
itâs been 3 games in a row now, other people in game are reporting the same thing
proof: https://imgur.com/a/Oc9SdSk
In older games, blizz would do âpsuedo random distributionâ (prd) in their programming, so streaks were less likely, but specific events could be more predictable. (eg a 15% crit chance would ensure a crit on the 7th hit if the previous 6 were not crits)
HotS specifically doesnât use PRD, so low-chance events can still have streaks.
I havenât had a mirror since the 2% change, so someone else must be getting my share of them instead
Yes it is a common topic in the forums about how bad MM mode is and on top of that it doesnât seem to me like 2% chance is even accurate. Someone needs to get back from vacation and check the code here.
By the way. The likelihood of hitting 3 âback-to-back-to-backâ games when the odds are 2% is like: .0008% (itâs happened to me before too).
Wow that is wild that you got 3 in a row. I have only gotten them 2 or 3 times since they dialed it down.
Iâd just consider it a freak event and move on. Sometimes you just get the short end of the stick, although I would imagine that an all Rag battle would be pretty fun. Meatballs EVERYWHERE!
I like this way of looking at this issue. The chances the OP will have mirror games again, anytime soon, is probably very low indeed.
Like you mentioned, since the change was made to lower the chances of mirror games, Iâve had only one mirror game.
Because you are too preoccupied with winning instead of having fun.
Self-improvement and analysis can only be performed by the person asking. Though if you really want to be lazy, you can try hypnotism. They will of course, make you sign a waiver.
<user deleted this post, you should report this post for trolling>
itâs less a âfreak eventâ and more that people are really bad at probability.
is an example of something that should be âwrongâ but thatâs due to math stuffs. Basically, it only takes 23 people to have more than 50% chance that two people share a birthday.
A person may run the math only in relation to their own, and thus neglect the possibility that others in the group could then share dates.
chuckbronson prattles on about low-probability events because, like the âbirthday problem,â his understanding pretty much assumes that heâs the only person getting matches and that match-making doesnât function when heâs not playing.
Complaints fixate on ârunsâ (games in sequence) and not in ratios of their own games, let alone a consideration to how many other people are playing.
Like with âforced 50â, runs happen all the time ânaturallyâ, but people donât think in math and probability and theyâs just as soon as impose their impulse on the rest of the universe than consider that the rest of then universe is more influential than they are.
I understand for some to not like Mirror matches. Even if they do get it once in a while. But until they implement QMAM or DRAFT All Mid, this is what we got. If they remove Mirror, those who like Mirror will suffer, while those who hate Mirror will only suffer sometimesâŚ
Three of my last ~15 games have been one-hero games.
I realize itâs statistically possible, butâŚ
Yeah. Theyâre fun the first time one or two times you see them.
By now, whenever I get one of those games, half the team Alt+F4âs out.
I also see in your list that you got around 6 ARAMs that werenât mirror. Where is the post thanking the devs the game didnât give you Mirror matches that many times? Please understand that it is possible to have a Mirror match every single time.
oh my gward
like it almost like I know its hard to believe but like totally itâs like
Random
and like
that like why like you have some all same hero and like some not the same
cus like
random
oh my gward
If I get 4 mirror arams in a row with teammates iâve never played before telling me that they also get only mirrors, then clearly this is an issue of how the server instantiates games under mix of circumstances, that occured at that moment. Games ar not being created by rolling a dice but caclulating multiple factors.
And how many mirrors in a row do i have to play, with people reporting the same problem, to be allowed to consider this suspicious, report it and not being attacked with cringe comments? 3 games is not enough i guess so how many?
It doesnât seem to be a general problem. I played a bunch of ARAM last night, and never saw a mirror, nor did anyone mention a problem in chat.
What server were you playing on?
Actually, itâs not.
Youâre fixing on streaks, but probability doesnât preclude that streaks canât happen.
As seen with your âproofâ, you arenât getting same hero âeveryâ aram, so even if you have a streak, you arenât showing that the severs are distributing more than 2% of the games played.
While many players fixate on âstreaksâ, a game lasts several minutes, and you simply arenât the next roll the matchmaking makes for the next queue because youâre already in a game. If I play an aram, quit, later play another aram, it isnât any less likely for me to get âsame hero in a rowâ by staggering by games as it would be if continue to play one game after the next.
Having something be â2%â means people would just as soon as assume that it "neverâ happens rather than thereâs 50x times more games people played than they bothered to consider. Having a couple of other complainers also exaggerate their experience isnât proof that something is âwrongâ with the code, especially since the reverse seems to hold up that some players havenât gotten any same-hero matches.
Average rate doesnât mean averaged distribution.
Iâll just agree to that logic⌠I have had exactly one mirror game in ARAM since they decreased the odds. Since the patch, Iâve never encountered anyone in ARAM who said they have had back to back mirror games.
My anecdotal evidence, is as good as yours, so where does this put us? Iâd say buy a lottery ticket or something, you seem to be defying the odds, which can happen with random chance, lucky you!
I had a Simply Amazing MM game over the weekend guys. Let me explain:
Everyone on my team was mad when MM Aram launched. 1 guy on our team left. A couple others started complaining ânot againâŚâ and âWHY!!!â
To my delight, The game launched and the entire enemy team actually left and the game ended before the gates even opened. It was the best MM game Iâve ever had.