Matchmaking Algorithm

But, there are situations, like this thread where the guy added robes and saw no opponents it would be useful against.

People teching weapon removal, after fighting 20 opponents WITH weapons and after adding an Ooze, not seeing another weapon for the next 20.

List goes on.

Call it what you want.

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Confirmation bias. You cannot trust anecdotes like this, and you know that. The most likely cause for this perception is psychological and not nefarious on the part of Team 5.

Ya know, another thing, with all of the leaks coming out in regard to Blizzard, I’d say if this were going on, there’s also a high probability this information (pertaining to rigging) would have also been leaked.

…or, maybe they were drunk and accidently rigged the MMR while they were crawling around the office.

I wouldn’t be shocked to find that the people in charge of MMR had no oversight.

SO, on the contrary to your

how do you know WHAT is going on, one way or the other?

Larry the janitor could have accidently flipped the nefarious MMR switch while he was mopping up.

That’s a low blow. :pensive:

I don’t, but, I also don’t jump to conclusions.

That’s fair, but, what is a conclusion? ( I know you mean jumping to conclusions based on the MMR but hear me out)

If I tech an ooze after facing a DOCUMENTED 30 weapon classes in a row, I literally write, it DOWN. I faced 30 opponents and each used a weapon at least ONCE.

Then I tech the Ooze.

Then I face 30 opponents who NEVER USE A WEAPON.

What’s my conclusion?

My CONCLUSION is, I faced 30 with and then 30 without weapons.

I’m not jumping to ANYTHING. Facts are facts.

Now, the jumping part would be, the game is rigged by Blizzard, fine.

But how do you explain this kind of crap? Confirmation bias? Overused term that Im sick of.

Theres a light on my way home, its red 95% of the time.
You can SAY I only notice it when it’s RED, cuz it makes me mad.
But what if I start WRITING IT DOWN?
How do you defend actual occurrences?

If you’ve really experienced this, I don’t blame you for being suspicious. You must understand that you are expecting me to take your word for it – and I mean no offense by that. If this happened to me, I’d probably be thinking the same way, but, it hasn’t happened to me.

Edit: But consider this. After playing, what, thousands of games? You are guaranteed to run into rare instances.

OK, I’ll tell you this true story.

When Secret Pally was HOT last xpac, with the sword etc. Pre Nerf. I was playing A LOT of games.

Then, I noticed this card in my collection

Rare · Minion · Forged in the Barrens · Battlecry: Copy your opponent

I had never seen anyone use it against me. I said, why arent people using this card in this Secret Pally heavy meta?

I put 2 in my deck.

And dude, you don’t have to believe me about what I’m about to say…

NEXT MATCH was VS a Secret Pally, no surprise, they were EVERYWHERE.

I said sweet, I’m gonna use this Horde Operative on this punk.

TURN 3 HE USED HORDE OPERATIVE AGAINST ME AND COPIED MY SECRETS!

Remember, I had NEVER seen this card played and this was the very next , VERY NEXT match after I put 2 in MY DECK.

COME ON!!!

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You’re jumping to conclusions, though. Which is fine based upon your experiences, I suppose.

I’ve had something like this happen before. Last expansion, I played that demon hunter card that, when corrupted, turns into a weapon. Now, you rarely see this card. I put it in my deck, my next opponent is a demon hunter, and he is using this card. But, for me, I don’t jump to the conclusion that I’ve been scammed or something.

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Is something confirmation bias? The only way we’ll ever know is for someone to the match track data. So far none of the “IT’S RIGGED!” crowd has done it.

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I wonder how much the CCP pays shills to defend the indefensible.

Did you play against them after nerf?

In my exact First game, which re-burned me enough to not allow a Second.

Truth be told, i’m at dumpster MMR in Diamond, where i start refining my decks.

Rigged i dont know but the game is highly predictable.

If i could pick and bet on all sorts of supposedly random events in BG with the apropiate odds then i would have made a fortune by now.
Its not all events that are predictable,it depends on the events that did happen right before (for example previous attacks) but if you can chose when and what next random event to bet on (like you can in a casino,you dont have to bet every round of roulette) then you will see that at times (i would guess at least 1 in 10) the events are highly predictable.

Its a game i play inside my head when the combat phase unfolds. I watch,look and wait for an opportunity where i see the patern and then suddenly i know what the next attack will be. And with this i am right way more often then is to be expected based on the odds.

Same for the above story with robes. 2-3 games after you switched out your robes and got mage as opponent you could most likely predict that more mages would follow even though the odds of mage beeing your opponent should not be that high.

If you’re talking about me, i walked out the game because the odds ARE that high. If Mage is 20% of the meta, that means each other class, in a perfect world, would be less than 10%. I’d have twice the chance of matching up against another Mage than anything else.

It was not even a winning problem, more of a “Man, i wish i could play the game without those two techs” problem. My deck is already bad enough without teching.

None of the “its not rigged (gulp) thanks Blizz” crowd has shown its not.

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oh…lol. I feel so unacknowledged.

Is it because I provided sources to information that would allow people to draw their own conclusions rather than telling people what they should think?

Like, someone could have at least picked on my grammar or my shiny al-oo-men- knee-uhm top-hat.

Empty echoes of silence

Well then… carry on.

Well, it depends, @GrimThor. Do your references back up my preconceived notion?

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i never heard of those people

these threads always are “people who ask for others to prove their claims " vs " you should blindly believe everything i say to you without asking questions!!!”

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The observed games happened, yeah. The hard part is proving that it isn’t simply coincidence compared with faulty memory and cognitive biases.

That’s what data is for. And, conveniently, data that is never provided by the conspiracists. Yet somehow we’re supposed to believe that it’s both immediately obvious in a half dozen games and completely invisible in a half million games.

Sure.

Fact is it doesn’t happen with me. I run rustrot viper and still face weapon using decks. You’re either not telling the truth or have some horrible luck.