See this response
Why would we assume that your observation that the same group of players repeatedly reach the top ranks immediately implies that establishes a casual relationship with skill and rank?
Clearly data aggregation sites gather raw information on deck winrates, where the players are marginalized out, meaning these win rates are irrespective of the pilot, they can be assumed fairly accurately to be the decks winrate in the current meta. These websites are measuring something real, and those decks, the highest performing ones have winrates above 50 percent.
Any winrate above 50 percent, it stands to reason, will result in steadily improving rank, it’s just how many games it takes to see a certain level of improved rank. Another factor at play is the variance in that winrate (which is incredibly high in today’s Hearthstone) and that itself contributes even a stricter requirement on the number of games needed to see rank improve.
That’s all before we get into one of the main reasons why the same group of people end up in top ranks, and that’s because, once you’ve made the climb once every subsequent climb is trivial in comparison due to what rank you enter legend at. The players you mention, even if they enter near the end of the month, they will enter top 500 if not top 200. That clearly makes maintaining rank trivial after the first time finish. I know this because I’ve been a person that finishes near or top 100 consistently at one point, and combined with the star system these two things trivialize the journey in future months.
There are also examples of players who should end in top 100 every single month and beat most if not all those players you list quite handedly, but they don’t. Why is that? To give a concrete example, Kibler is one such player. The guy is a multi time world champion at MTG, a significantly more complex game than Hearthstone, also a TCG.
Why does Kibler not finish any where near top 100? It’s not for a lack of skill, I hope we can agree upon this.
Well a very reasonable explanation that explains both your observation and mine is, Kibler loves deck building and playing jank. It’s very understandable from my point of view as this is the only fun portion of the game remaining IMO.
Those decks have a massive disadvantage when played over a long period of time.
Anyhow FWIW , some of those players you listed are definitely not that good, for example Mr yagut or jaleclxander, from personal experience playing them they make misplays quite a bit.
On the other hand some of them are really good like mcbanter.
This last observation has always confounded me, how do players like the former play at the same rank as players like the latter.
The simplest possible explanation is the one written above.
Just to be clear, my ranking of the players is roughly
Mcbanter, nohands > photon > jalelxander, mryagut where the differences in skill sold be enough such that if skill is correlated with rank and that is a dominant correlation, they should be well above in their own rank.