I have had this discussion many times in many forms, but I have never made a thread myself stating what I believe.
I think absolutely, matching does consider deck composition at some point.
So I am asking the Forum, which I know to have players far more knowledgeable than me.
Is such a thing impossible?
Or; is it unlikely, and why?
I have been playing this game almost every single day since 2013.
My observations are not just those of some wide eyed kid who got one unfavorable match up and decided on the spot that there was something unusual going on.
I understand MMR and I understand variance.
But; I have seen years of matches that defy both of those mechanisms.
I only want to point out that eyewitness testimony as well as memory have been shown to be inaccurate very often. This would include your and my observations which differ. We canât take anyoneâs word for it because theyâve seen it (like in your case, and no offense). What we really need is someone to analyze the data, I think. I believe VS does this. The fact they havenât noticed anything fishy (as far as we know) would suggest the game isnât weighted. If these aggregates came out and said thereâs something up with matchmaking Iâd be very convinced.
Fair enough. Maybe they havenât. I would think itâd be glaringly obvious, but maybe not. And if it isnât obvious, it would seem that this weighting doesnât really do much (if not anything at all).
Killu already made some points.
As for you and your patterns - we (as a forum) have had this discussion forth and back a zillion times, so Iâm really glad you came up with it the zillion+1s timeâŚ
âObservationsâ arenât data. If you see a âpatternâ and believe it, youâll see more of it - like seing more and more âfacesâ on rough surfaces the longer you stare, especially if you squint or start to believe youâre on to s/th: âConformation biasâ is the next step where your brain omits info that doesnât fit itâs idea of whatâs supposed to be there. But since you also believe in the devs being mean to your persional version of Mage (while doting Hunter, of course), I get the feeling we have a pattern here.
This will of course convince non of those who have always known that there is âsomething fishy going onâ and the game targets them, for reasons.
I am aware of what Confirmation Bias is.
But I have never accused the algorithm of singling anyone out, because I donât believe that it does.
As to Team 5, and what they nerf, and why?
Oh yeah. I see plenty of personal whims, and decisions based on pack sales taking precedence over any other concern.
AB should be making money selling a quality product â a good game. Power creep shouldnât be their way of selling this. Itâs lazy and unthoughtful design.
Its possible to implement, but unlikely due to the difficulty of implementing it in a way that isnt glaringly obvious.
Essentially for every expansion, they would need to find out every deck, then for each deck determine the weaknesses and strengths for every class, which change every expansion and balance patches.
Exactly the points I was hoping for. So; itâs not possible to assign every card a value and have the matching dicated based on those.
That would have to be done every single expansion.
Sure definitly possible, but even then it would take how many games to determine any sense of win pct against other classes, and any change in the deck could significantly affect the result. If it did exist like this the bias would have to be so slight that it isnt obvious to everyone.