I have a feeling that a lot of people that though they would make a ton of gold on Tuesday might be in for a shock. While yes there will be money to be made from people that want to power level a new profession, a large majority of people that will be leveling a new profession have already stockpiled the mats needed.
While I do have a small stockpile that I will be selling I have seen screenshots of bank alts that are just filled to the brim with crafting mats. And I’m sure there are a lot of people out there that have a ton of crafting mats that will just flood the market on Tuesday.
Yeah a lot of people are going to lose their a** hard, unless they hold onto their stuff for around 18 months or so, but most profession stuff is easily farmable. I just don’t see it this time around.
This sounds like one of my guildies, there’s probably a lot of people like this. I just called him the biggest hoarder in the guild and he agreed. He has over 25 bank alts.
Just like how people recently unloaded their herbs and they were going for like under 20% of the regular price, at least on my server.
I am leveling brand new chars for tbc (my retail guild is playing horde this round and I was Alliance last time). I see no point buying crafting mats that will only take me a couple of weeks to farm up.
That being said if they are cheap I might buy some
When AH comes back up you’ll probably have early posters trying to price gouge for a quick profit. Then you’ll have others undercutting them at slightly less higher markup. Cycle repeats until prices balance out.
Except for items that are going to be losing value in tbc. Those markets could start high and by Thursday they could be crashing. It just really depends… its a player driven market so how people behave really makes the difference regardless if its logical or not.
Tuesday into Wednesday will be a wild day on the AH. There is a massive amount of people looking to dump materials on Tuesday. They’re expecting a huge demand from people boosting and leveling characters that need to power-level their professions. And, it’s probably true, I do believe demand will likely increase over the next week for crafting materials. However, I think the number of people looking to dump are easily going to overwhelm the number of people looking to buy. Cloth and herbs will be especially hard hit by the oversupply and I predict their value will soon approach vendor.
Ore might hold, since prospecting is extremely ore-intensive and a boatload of people will be PL’ing Jewelcrafting.
ive already dumped most of my supply because i know EVERYONE is going to be rushing to post their stuff when the AH comes back up. prices are going to be insanely low on tuesday. ill take 1g per thorium bar at over a 2x ROI rather then hoping it eventually increases during prepatch after the initial supply rush is over.
I’ve been working on my JC stockpile the last couple days. Based on certain things I’ve seen while doing this. My guess is that there is going to be a decent amount of resources going to the AH.
Either that or people really don’t need to sleep and require a lot larger stockpile than I need.
I think a lot of people are waiting for the pre-patch to cycle professions. I know I am waiting for the material cost changes to do mine.
I think we will see a lot of materials being in high demand for the first few weeks. Especially until the first few weeks of TBC as people use old world materials to level their professions.
I know my goal is to use as many old world professions/materials as I can to save on the limited supplies that will be available for the first few weeks. Got 40 mooncloth and 400 thorium bars to level tailoring and engineering as far as I can. Jewelcrafting will be cheaper just to use outland gems for the most part unless I have a lot extra or the materials become crazy cheap.
However at the end of the profession cycling I will be clearing out my banks as much as possible in preparation for the new materials I will be farming in outland
They don’t realize that people who care to level professions on new characters have already stockpiled those mats. In addition they don’t consider that everyone else trying to make a quick buck is doing the exact same thing as them resulting in too much supply and no demand to meet it. I won’t be surprised if the price on realms crash for certain items.
Which I will laugh as people on my realm are currently trying to sell things at 4 times the market price because “TBC inc!”
The only thing that might actually hold its value are items used for quests.
