It has been my understanding that after killing Fyrakk the Blazing 15 times, and using the 15 Greater Embers obtained from said kills, that on the 16th kill the drop rate would be 100%.
I have killed him 16 times now. I’ve also looted and used 10 lesser embers. The legendary still has not dropped. It is also worth noting that another member of my guild has killed Fyrakk on heroic, and used the Greater Embers 22 times and has yet to have it drop.
My first heroic kill was on 12/16/23 and I believe the world first mythic kill was some time in November?
There is no official post that states any such thing or drop rates, anything you read on wowhead has a disclaimer that states it is based on speculation only.
It may drop on the first, or not at all until the next 40. What the developers did intend with it is to grant bad luck protection and greatly increase the chance to drop it with more embers you got. It remains a chance though.
It would be fantastic if I could get some clarification from blizz on this here then. Two seasons now without it and doing everything I can to make progress towards getting it has completely eroded my will to play the game any longer.
The support forums are not meant for feedback, you generally can submit feedback through any appropriate non-support forum if you can’t find one General Discussion is always a good bet, the ingame suggestion box or maybe @warcraftdevs twitter now X.
None are required to answer however, they are pretty busy with making the game and the next expansion is coming.