Maybe.
Give us your own list so we can see how right you are when TBC comes out!
Nah, that’s round about where I see average alliance players in T4 on a certain tbc “blizlike” server that I um, yeah.
I find your estimates to be too optimistic and theoretical. Accounting for boss mechanics and non-perfect performance I think we will see lower “full pump” numbers across the board. Beyond that, I left your rankings mostly the same.
For what I changed:
Retribution Paladin: I didn’t penalize their damage as much as all other specs. While the average will be lower, the spec is a casino roller and we will see those parses out there where every twisted seal attack procs SoC and Windfury for the lucky bastard. Those jackpot parses will pull the ceiling upward.
I also put Prot Paladin above Prot Warrior because I’ll be damned and reroll DK if I let some dude with a stick and a pot lid out tank me.
I’d say that for Bears too but lets be honest, they’re pretty strong. I’ll clown on the most of them but a good bear will still stay ahead.
As for the divide, Just Wait until you see my full dancefloor megapull.
I remember in DPS ranking back in BC, warglaives provided significant of enough of a differance that “combat w/ glaives” and “combat w/o glaives” was a thing.
Definitely, but I’m fairly confident they’ll share parses, so the 90th percentile of Rogues is going to be nothing but Rogues with Warglaives once we get to T6.
Well yeah, but I mean not all guilds were showered with glaives, so non-glaives was still tracked for the unlucky ones.
Well, you need at least 10%, realistically more like 11-12%, of rogues to have dual glaives for the 90th percentile parse to be defined by glaive potential DPS. Depending on exactly what the drop rate is (estimates are 4-5% each), each rogue will take 8-11 kills to have a greater than 10% chance of having the things. So given that there will probably be a good-sized population of people not killing Illidan in week 1 of BT, it’s safe to say that we’re talking a time frame of close to 3 months. Given how Blizz paced the content for Classic, it seems likely that the 90th percentile parse in for most of the BT era will be a rogue with one glaive (or none) and the 90th percentile parse in Sunwell will be a rogue with both glaives.