135F average temp

Great story on how we got our calendar, the differences between the old Roman & Egyptian calendars, and why the year 46 BC had 445 days.

(Timestamped to skip the earlier part about Caesar’s 4 Roman Triumphs and why some were… questionable. But that’s a good view, too!)

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Math is…biased?

It is if you skew/cherry pick your data enough to prove your desired hypothesis/results. Didn’t we just see the prez of Stanford resign over such shenanigans?

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Big Math wants you to believe it’s totally not biased!

Well if we’ve learned anything these last 3 years, experts are often wrong (or corrupt) and the models used to predict change are wrong 99% of the time.

Your average temperature will be about the same it is today.

69% of statistics online are made up.

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In 78% of the circumstances.

This does happen, however that is not a valid refute of an entire discipline of science lol.

[X]
/10char

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I mean, it’s been happening for decades in academia, which is why so many of the elder scientists would go through and pick one another’s work apart so viciously. We’ve definitely not refuted entire disciplines, but we have refined them via rigorous discussions and critiques from colleagues and students. It’s all part of the scientific process. And yes, it can make people doubtful of initial findings.

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I agree with everything you said, I just want to address this last part.

Part of it is obviously the fraud, but a large part is how the data is interpreted by non-scientific media outlets. One of my 400 level writing courses in college specifically focused on the problem with disseminating science topics (especially studies) to the modern masses. The problem is the people reporting on them do not understand the nuance and often time do not have an elementary understanding of statistics.

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That is absolutely true, unless you have the researchers pointing out the significance to the people reporting, it all gets a spin. I have worked both in freelance writing and academia - so I can very honestly note that there are hot topics both sources want to laser focus on. Some academic papers have been found to exclude portions of results that are significant to the context of the study. News articles will do the same. We’ve thankfully been moving away from that in minor increments on the academic side, as other researchers test and re-test a hypothesis in an attempt to ensure the science is sound and results stand concretely.

Anyways. It’s good to read news topics and go sleuthing out the research afterwards. You’ll find just as much conflict in science and varying data as anywhere. It’s a hard slog to get through the science jargon and statistics, but if you can, it gives you a better grasp on what the world is putting on your plate to believe/disbelieve in the long run.

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There’s also the problem that a lot of them will write whatever gets the most clicks.

(Nor is “sensationalist journalism” anything new.)

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Not sure about Arizona, but I bought a nice 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home in semi-rural Pennsylvania for $169k in 2021 and it’s already increased in value to $189k. The house was built in 2019.

The area I’m living in just happens to be one of the few places that will see little impact from climate change over the long run. The only fear is all the climate refugees from New York and New Jersey might overrun the area if things get bad on the coast.

Oh… and as a bonus, there is no walmart within 10 miles. The nearest one is 12 miles away!

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Shhhhh… you don’t announce the small isles of paradise and why they are paradise on the interwebs silly. Now you’ve just alerted everyone where to look to buy at a reasonable price. Rural is about to grow urban.

I do think it will be amusing if this trend of people moving south/toward the coasts abruptly reverses because those places become unlivable, if not for the heat, for the costs.

Meanwhile, the rusty dump that is the midwest is still sitting here, but “ooooh nooo, not winter and old buildings! That’s not hip!”

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It’s more the rusty underside of the bridges that worries me.

Yea, but not everyone likes really cold winters. I’m in a valley and we get strong winds during the winter which means higher wind chill.

I left a well populated area of Florida for this. The area I left was starting to be overrun by yuppie wall street types fleeing New York. I remember the week I left, there were a bunch of different colored Lamborghinis speeding down a major interstate on a Sunday afternoon cutting everyone off… and they had a sign on top of their cars saying STUDENT DRIVER. The interstate was in the process of expanding to like 5 or 6 lanes on each side to handle the overpopulation. Glad I left that hell hole. Granted, I rather live their during the winter, but the other 3/4ths of the year were rainy, hot, and humid.

And 3 bdrm, 2 bathroom homes were going for over $400k in the area. And these homes were over 50 years old.

The only thing that is gonna save you now is the job market. No jobs here in PA folks, nothin’ to see. Keep moving.

I’m trying to save ya here bud. If people hear they can get 3 bed 2 bath house for under 300k miiiiight just tolerate more than you think. Especially if they’ve had to share tight quarters with their parents or other family members for the last 5-7 years. :wink:

laughs in Californian