You don’t have to understand statistics to see this guy is using terminology incorrectly. He has given up because he didn’t have any arguments to begin with. He has now pointed out that the draws may not be independent, which really hurts his position even more. He just has no clue what he is talking about.
The thing is you can never win a debate with someone on the internet if he creates lies/mistakes/misinformation/misrepresentations faster than your ability to correct them.
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I’ll rescind my entire argument if you can prove my point about bournilli distributions is wrong.
Interesting, what point exactly?
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You claimed a sum of coinflips is a bournilli distribution when in fact it is not. It is a binomial distribution.
Where have I claimed that? In any case it is still true. A sum of 1 coinflips is a bournoulli distribution.
Right here. You called an average of 15 coinflips a bournilli distribution.
Batz why can’t you admit that you want Terran nerfed into the ground and Zerg buffed to a point where they win 100% of all tournaments?.
Drop your act.
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This was clearly referring to the distribution for a single tournament. If it wasn’t clear to you I’m sorry, but if you are as knowledgeable about statistics as you claim to be you would have realized that I was talking about the bernoulli distribution because I was about to plug it into the law of large numbers to analyze your flawed argument.
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You are aware that youre talking to somebody who responded to “its not relevant because X” with “ah hah, so you admit its relevant!” right?
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Nope. You were referring to what I was doing and what I was doing was a sum of coinflips. You referred to specifically the coin flips. You also were not talking about a single tournament:
You are definitely talking about sums and that makes it a binomial distribution, not a bournilli.
I was referring to a single coin flip. Why are you trying so hard to stir this conversation to this minor lingual point? Is it because you want to avoid confronting the legitimacy of modelling tournament wins as coin flips? You know what, I don’t know why I’m even trying. I give up this time for good. I hope we see you on the ballot soon!
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Nope, read your own words. You were talking about sums, I was talking about sums. If we are talking about sums, then the proper distribution is either binomial or hypergeometric, but you called it a bournilli.
Uh oh, someone just proved they don’t know what a bournilli trial is. A bournilli trial is a statistical test that can be true or false. That’s what a win/loss is and it is the proper way to model wins/losses.
I’ve never seen someone so fully embody this statement.
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The irony here is quite stark.
Why can’t you admit that you are Zerg biased?
Why can’t you admit that there is no zerg bias in my argument? How is it zerg biased to argue that protoss is underpowered? Equal logic is being applied to all races and concludes protoss is underpowered, so where is the zerg bias?
Is Terran currently underpowered right now?.
Is Zerg currently underpowered right now?
What does the data say? The data says a terran in a tournament will have a higher chance to win the tournament than a zerg or protoss. That’s what the data says.
Well the data says “nerf zerg because theyre winning too much”, but for some reason you seem to have trouble with that.
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