Right, but you said:
Which is why there is confusion. You don’t score points on an exam based on an a prior pdf from 5 years ago, or any pdf (normally). So no, your analogy doesn’t even work. Stop trying to force it.
Still wrong. If you’re giving them 6 fair coins you’re shipping a random match. And that’s what we’re advocating for in SR-only system. But with hidden MMR, you’re perversely rigging the odds. By adaptively holding player data against them, by analyzing every player or “coin” to decide if it’s “due” to show H or T (even with fair coins you can predict if it’s due to H or T based on streaks and assumption of 50-50 bias). So load-balancing around that, you’re rigging the match.
There is no way deny it’s hard rigged, every. single. match.
Do you not agree forcing 50-50 odds is a kind of rigging? Or are you still caught up on basic terminology?
With mmr 50-50, they are stochastically rigged. The outcome (in many measures like expectation and variance) is rigged in advance - towards 50-50. The devs have said this and the patents seem to support this. That’s rigging as per definition, word for word.
If every game is parametrically rigged, there really isn’t anything else to say.
That has little to do with NFL in this context. NFL says you can’t constrain match odds (by forcing outcomes) and have a natural ladder progression. You can’t force micro results and expect macro to fall in place, and vice versa. But in random SR only system, the micro and macro are equal, (mmr, the micro manipulation - doesn’t exist and goes away). So you avoid NFL because everyone is on same criteria: where matches, ranks, and payouts are using the same transparent metric.
Eh? What does that have to do with rigged matches? Either they force outcomes or not. No fair competition forces the outcome ahead of time. They might force your overall bracket or league or team, but never match on match. Their are fairplay orgs and sports governing bodies that validate this mantra. You don’t rig matches and call your contest fair lmao.
A fool’s errand. Where is that data posted? Are the alt accounts winning and losing at 50% winrate or is there some negative bias because they’re alts and games are disposable? Still no evidence they force a normal pdf, articially sending you to places to preserve the shape of their curve from 2015. And you haven’t answered my question: how many games does it take a GM to go from gold to GM in a random SR only system vs. system with mmr rigging that arrests mobility? Assume no duplicate accounts per player and matches formed randomly for an SR range of +/- 250sr.
But you haven’t done an ounce of real math. And you haven’t shown a single source of data. Most of the debate is structural and algebraic, not data-based. We’re aruing about a model, so it needs to validate for all inputs with maybe some a priori knowledge of those inputs.