No, not immediately. But we’re probably only a few weeks away. End of August at the latest.
On June 12th there was a UK Court battle at the CAT:
- Basically 6 hours of the CMA saying they don’t want to use direct evidence from experts, with Microsoft asking for the opposite. (Text Recap - Verbal Recap)
- Judge said they will use direct evidence from experts (Very good)
- Catch being, Microsoft has to pay the CMAs legal bills on evidence collection, if the evidence is deemed irrelevant/inadmissible. (No big deal.)
- Next court date is July 28th.
- The judge wants the case to be over within 10 days after that so maybe roughly August 11th.
Also on June 12th, the USA’s FTC got spooked and immediately ran to court to get a 1 week legal blockage on the merger called a TRO, and seeking a permanent “Preliminary Injunction”.
- The FTC was granted their TRO. (No big deal)
- However the case was moved over to the “Gamer’s Lawsuit” judge. The judge that was blocking the private copycat of the FTC case from getting a “Preliminary Injunction”, and overall kinda tired of their crap. (Very good.)
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Microsoft welcomes this case, because it speeds up the stall tactics the FTC was using by a lot. (Originally the FTC was trying to push this out to September)
• Today is 6/14
• Xbox response by 6/16
• FTC follow-up by 6/20
• Court hearing by 6/22 and 6/23
• On June 23rd the Judge might block the FTC request for a Preliminary Injunction.
• If that happens, then Microsoft based Wins in the United States. Game Over for the FTC.
Next is where Microsoft get really interesting options:
- First, Microsoft is probably going to pressure the UK CAT to hurry up.
- Or maybe just close the deal in spite of the UK.
- Although they’d probably ask for a compromise where they don’t have ActiBliz games on Microsoft Cloud Gaming (Which isn’t going to happen any time soon anyways). And then sort out the details in a slower court case.
- Or they just let things play out with a July 24th court hearing, which probably resolves in August. Since that provides a strong sense of legitimacy to the whole thing.
Not sure what’s going to happen, but things are heating up. With this deal getting more and more likely by the day.
That all said, we can thank the FTC/CMA a bit. They are part of the reason why Starfield is going to be so well polished at launch. Thanks for that I guess.
P.S. If anybody important at Microsoft is reading this: After you win, please let us know when we can expect Bobby Kotick to exit the company.
He’s bad for Overwatch
He’s bad for Workers
He’s bad for bringing Blizzard games back to China
He’s just generally not that good of a person in general
https://twitter.com/PostUp_SOG/status/1668796407954788353
EXTRA STUFF
And you wanna know that the FTC’s argument is?
• Microsoft would be too dominant in consoles, in a “market” that only includes Xbox and PlayStation. Despite it being 68% Playstation and only 32% Xbox.
• * And also, every other country, including UK, has already dropped the Console argument.
• That Microsoft lied to the EU regulators about making Zenimax games be exclusives. Despite the EU publicly saying this never happened. (The FTC should know better than to use obviously false information)
• The gaming equivalent of: Downloading a Netflix show, or streaming a Netflix show are two different “Markets”.
• And that the FTC magically knows Microsoft would dominate that “Market”, someday, despite Cloud Gaming dollars barely existing.
• And the vast majority of Cloud Gaming that isn’t Microsoft is basically just a “Hardware Rental service”, where you bring your own software, or play Free software. I.e. A virtual internet cafe, where you log into your private Steam account. (Which the FTC also argues is a separate “Market” for videogames)
- I watched the whole thing Live…between 2am and 8am…
• Microsoft/Bliz had 3 highly paid lawyers, the CMA had one lawyer with only a few days on the case and said the word “uhm” about 30 times in the first 5 minutes. - Text play by play of the court hearing
- Verbal retelling of the court hearing
- ActiBliz Stock looks like a good buy because it’s “Heads you win, Tails you don’t lose”