Overwatch: Declassified got announced and stated to release on Nov 1st 2022. x.com
Now, this is just speculation, but I am going to connect some dots nows. The Nvidia leak showed us that the release date for OW2 is December 1st 2022, and the Chinese edition is February 28th 2022 https://www.reddit.com/r/Overwatch/comments/qmb9cb/nvidia_geforce_leak_possibly_reveals_new_original/
Now, OW2 Chinese version is most likely the mobile game, or less likely a curated version of OW2. Netease develops mobile games (and is confirmed to develop OW mobile), but also ābrokersā games for release in the Chinese market. Considering the database said OW2 Chinese version and not just Overwatch mobile edition, itās safe to assume that OW2 is getting a mobile release, not OW1.
It also makes no sense to have a mobile release that spoils new maps and heroes in a lower quality medium earlier than the main platforms. It would release at the same time, or later.
So what this could mean is that Feb 28 2022 was the old release date, and Dec 1 2022 is the delayed release date. From the investor call in q3 2021, Mike said this:
The teams have made great progress and passed important milestones recently, and we expect these to be fantastic releases. But thereās obviously been a change in leadership. We looked at what was left in the final phases of production with fresh eyes, and we saw that allowing the teams more time would enable both great experiences at launch and also help ensure that everything will be in place to engage the communities for many years to come. This extra time will also help us continue significantly increasing the size of our development teams ahead of the launch.
With the part I bolded especially, it gives credibility to Feb 28 2022 being somewhat close to the original OW2 release date.
With your prediction, late October would be when the marketing campaign starts, and that makes sense to increase the sales of the book, which will breathe life into the Overwatch fandom and the lore fanās fangirling will influence the inactive and active Overwatch fanbase to purchase OW2. Remember, 40 million players already own OW2 PvP. So the marketing would really have to hype the PvE/story aspect to be successful.
If everyone is excited about the new heroes/maps and not the campaign + hero missions, then the marketing campaign is a failure. And all the time that went into developing cinematics (they are all 100% baked in the campaign btw), PvE only mechanics/physics and A.I upgrades would be wasted. Even if the PvP side carried the game financially and was very profitable, it would be a devastating design failure to follow the PvE rabbit hole.
What will kill or support this theory is the OWL OW2 early build competitive season. If the maps are still in the process of being heavily modified for 5v5 this theory is dead in the water. As thereās no way Mike looked at productionās final phases and saw the PvP section be practically unchanged. That Feb release date would be extra foolish considering that on April 2022, the gameās maps arenāt even changed. If the OW2 early build shows very dramatic changes to maps + heroes, then this speculation is still valid as that would be worthy of being in the final stages of production.
So, hereās hoping that Dec 1 2022 is close to the actual release date, and that the PvE is very good.