I mean the thing about sample size is even if a sample is a small portion.
Is a study that flips a coin 10 times and gets 6 heads, 4 tails, and decides heads is unbalanced because it had a 60% chance balanced?
But if a study had like 1% of all data and maybe got 100,000 samples of 10 million coin flips, and got 50,002 heads and 49,998 tails,
That’s still enough to get a pretty sure idea that heads and tails are both at least about 50.00% wr, if not supposedly 50.002% vs 49.998% with sample error.
Although sample sizes can fuzz, you can still get pretry decent glance data.
However due to matchmaking winrates, decks that are easy to pilot and easy to make sometimes end up overperforming in bronze over a power deck that takes games to learn.
Decks like garrote rogue vs pirate warrior would be a prime example.
People who didn’t know how to do the combo in bronze stayed LOSING in bronze. A otk deck piloted by a genius who can’t otk is usually enough to tank the performance -2-13% wr.
But you can still get a idea if a deck is winning against 60-70% of whatever it faces, those have previously been the Tier 0.5/Tier 1++ decks.
However yeah. You can also notice some classes can get a higher winrate than their highest wr drawn card wr…
Like some hsreplay mech rogue lists had has some lists showing 5% of people concede before the game even begins.
Conceding to “aggro” is rare, but most people dont seem to enjoy a game they get rolled over without feeling like there was counterplay.
And percieved or not, being unable to seriously damage a opponent who then otks you (or fails), with your death or life determined by cards they drewed (or failed).
Can easily feel very annoying. Especially when same said deck can also make you guess
“does this secret obliterate my minion? Or is it iceblock? Do i play a spell and risk counterspelled, or is it iceblock. If i reach t9 after 3 alibis and ice block, do they play a Quest mage Rommath and i never get to have a turn again as they take 7 turns in a row?”
Chess and rock paper scissors are balanced. But i think a lot of people want fun as well.