I’ve never given much credence to the theory that this game is rigged

Multiplayer Discussion
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… but in the last 12 games (incidentally right after hitting Diamond 5), I’ve either drawn Aranasi Broodmother on the first draw or on the mulligan, EVERY. SINGLE. GAME.

Suffice to say, this completely bricks my hand and often results in me losing a tonne of value and thus enables my opponent to get ahead of me - you know where this is going. HSReplay also shows that this is the worst possible card one can draw for Warlocks first turn, with a 47% winrate (when drawn first turn) and is only kept 0.8% of the time - yet for the last 12 games (since I’ve been keeping track), I’ve gone into my first turn with at least one of these trash cards.

Some quick napkin math shows the statistical likelihood of drawing this card on the opening hand, every game for 12 games in a row (not taking into account mulliganing [not clever enough to incorporate that into my math]) is 0.0000047, or 47 in 10 million. What the hell is going in here?

I would normally chalk this up to poor luck, or our propensity to interpret patterns from random events, but the fact that this coincided so quickly with me reaching a new bracket, and the astronomically unlikely chance of this happening so many times in a row, I’m starting to feel like there’s something else going on here.

I’ve also noticed that the second I change decks, my pool of opponents changes dramatically, but I’m willing to concede this to simply being anecdotal (until I can come up with more evidence to support it). At the very least, my confidence in this game’s matchmaking and underlying systems is slowly, but surely being eroded every time I queue up and bring replaced with suspicions.

I’ve never had this with any other card game and would be curious if anyone else has similar examples.

Edit: People asked for proof. Queued up 5 more games as quickly as possible, and 5 more Aranasi Broodmothers in my opening hand again. That’s 17 in a row.

Timestamped photos:

Game 1 https://imgur.com/hKmUO8S
Game 2 https://imgur.com/IvFaFSA
Game 3 https://imgur.com/tlQs9nI
Game 4 https://imgur.com/Z1A1lTj
Game 5 https://imgur.com/MzkS3j8

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The game is rigged but not like some claim. The clowns here on the forums will say, “tin foil hat” or “why do they want you specifically to lose?”

That’s not how it’s rigged. It’s setup to try to force a 50/50 win lose overall. Win too much and you will be matched against people far above your skill to set you back. Match making has never been random.

People who came back after 2 years away walked into legend because they were matched against very low rated players. It’s an issue with the system. It was never random

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who else are you supposed to be matched against once you’re on a win streak except someone above your skill level? you can’t just continuously win if you aren’t as good as those higher on the ladder. i don’t understand your argument

also, to the OP, you will have to incorporate the mulligan into your calculations or they are going to be way off

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This is my suspicion as well, only I’m beginning to suspect that the 50/50 winrate is also achieved by manipulating the cards and your opponents. I went from Bronze 10 to Diamond 5 in about a day (obviously with my star bonuses from hitting Legend) and admittedly some good luck too (which shows that you benefit from it half the time) but suddenly I’m being hindered by the worst possible hands: Twisting Nether, Hysteria and Plague of Flames are other offenders that I get almost all the time too, but I didn’t think of tracking them.

It’s come to the point now that I can almost predict my opening hand by virtue of the same thing happening time and time again.

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That’s how basically every system with a matchmaking rating works. Hell, even start bonuses from winstreaks on the ladder are the same concept. Imagine how mad people would be if they didn’t get their winstreak star multiplier to shoot them up in the ranks.

Suddenly if winstreaks increase your MMR its nefarious rigging, though?

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Never said it was nefarious. You clearly agree though, it’s not random

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why would it be random? no one ever claimed it was random

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Agreed. The matching system isn’t random

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:rofl: :rofl: :rofl: :rofl: :rofl: okay

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There are at least several million players, most of whom will play more than one game, so the chances that it happens to someone who then whines about it on the forums is nearly 100%.

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How many hours a day would you estimate you spend defending blizzard daily? 5? 8?

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If you had the mental capacity to intuit the purpose of my post, you’d know that I’m not whining (I even acknowledged elsewhere in this thread that I’ve benefitted from runs of good luck), instead I wanted to start a discussion with respect to what I’m starting to believe is not a fair and unbiased matchmaking system.

If you have nothing of value to contribute, don’t contribute at all. Hell, while we’re on the topic of odds, what percentage of your posts are actually of any value? It’s probably something like 47 in 10 million.

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Then you’re a fool who’s succumbing to his own delusions.

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Surely you have replays to back up your alleged 12 game streak, OP.

No? Well, there’s the common thread of “rigged” enthusiasts, and the reason you are never taken seriously. SAYING you have proof means nothing if you can not SHARE that proof, particularly when the means to do so is readily available.

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No need to insult people just because you disagree with them.

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I play on mobile, so unless you know of a way for me to share my games, then you’ll have to take my word for it. That’s on you, I really couldn’t care less.

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Funny how NOBODY who claims the game is rigged uses replays.

You should know better than to make claims without providing the proof.

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It is proven rigged, lmfao

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What is your proof regarding this claim ?

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Pot, meet kettle…