HS Replay winrates, are they accurate over time?

I just read on HS Replay that Paladin has a 57.6% winrate.
Is this a reliable stat or is this number just today’s outlier?

Probably reliable. Paladin is borderline broken and brain dead easy to play.

They’re reliable, but if you’re using the free version of the site, the data you see are limited to Bronze-Gold. To access data from Platinum and above you need to sign up for the premium version.

4 Likes

These are the most reliable statistics available, derived from the results of thousands of games. For those without premium, secret paladin’s winrate is actually impressively consistent bronze through legend.

1 Like

No they are not.

HSReplay is fun to see the trend of the meta (which decks are popular, this info is accurate). But using HSReplay to decide which is the most powerful deck in an unwise action. You better just ask an expert to get that answer.


Edited for Language by the Moderation Team.
https://us.battle.net/support/en/article/000256989

Throw out the term powerful. HSReplay is objectively the most robust resource for card and deck performance. You can interpret these statistics however you’d like, i.e. which deck is most powerful. But HSReplay is only feeding you the information from which you can reach conclusions. The site’s not telling you anything but is only providing facts.

1 Like

If an obscure deck works as a meta breaker, it won’t stay obscure for long. So the idea that popular and powerful aren’t at least somewhat related seems a bit lacking in the evidence department.

1 Like

A decent amount of time even when the “most powerful deck” isn’t obscure people still not play it as much as it’s power suggest it should.

And that is actually fun because it can cause some totally unpredictable metagame twists making powerful decks get unviable and really bad ones into a good pick.

One example of what happened is deck of lunacy post barrens.

If someone say that spell mage itself was actually incredible powerful that person has 0 notion of what was going on.

But the gigantic amount of it’s presence caused by deck of lunacy insane powerspikes for sure made a decent amount of decks unviable.

If people were really interested so much into winning they would be playing paladin at said time.

Sure, but that’s not what I said. The most powerful deck in the meta isn’t necessarily the most popular, but it’s also not so obscure that you can’t find it in sites like HSReplay. A strong enough deck will eventually reach a point where it’s popular enough to show up in data sites, and decks that don’t probably aren’t that good.

No. They have a tiny fraction of data Blizzard has, it might be 10% to 20% different.

The most important factor is if we’re talking about free or paid hsreplay.

Free is not accurate, paid is.

That’s not because free version is lying or anything, but capping at gold and using bronze stats, ranks where a lot of people meme, play unoptimised decks, or simply aggro to rank up, is a completely different picture than the actual power level of a deck.

hsreplay is overall a good resource, the issue with the meta tier list chart however is that it shows the most popular version which is rarely up to date, people then copies the most popular deck, plays it, and those games are then also counted into that meta statistics. so the meta tier list becomes more of a historical record of a decks performence over a longer period of time rather than an updated list on what the current best performing deck and list