Funny Anecdotal Observation

I recently started playing card game called Gods Unchained which is very similar to Hearthstone mechanics wise and I noticed a funny thing about RNG.

In Hearthstone if you have let’s say 2 expensive cards it is pretty much guaranteed to have them in your hand early on. I remember playing Odd Baku Rogue a lot in Wild where Baku was the only expensive card in my deck and it was pretty common to have it in my hand by turn 1-3.

In Gods Unchained I play a deck where my most expensive cards are two 6 mana board clears, and often I’m ‘begging’ the game to give them to me and I don’t get them even by turn 6 - exactly how I feel RNG should work - if you have 28 low cost cards and 2 high cost cards the chances of pulling those exact 2 cards of 30 should be fairly low. No?

I’m no mathematician and don’t know much about probability, but if I have 28 red apples and 2 green apples and start blindly taking them out of a sack one by one wouldn’t my first few pulls be only red apples in overwhelming majority of cases? Though there is of course always a lucky chance to pull a green one too. Or is this logic wrong?

Different RNG algorithms or simply confirmation bias?

Anyways this is not a ‘GaMe Is RiGgeD’ post. It’s anecdotal, probably confirmation bias. Just a funny observation and food for thought. Don’t take it too seriously. Just an anecdotal thing I noticed between two games.

Kudos for being able to admit this. Most people cannot, as if they’re invincible to psychological fallibility. I find myself fighting this urge to proclaim this gotta be rigged. I am fortunately able to realize quickly that I’m suffering from confirmation bias. It’s simply human instinct. Maybe somewhere along the evolutionary line this psychological effect was beneficial. It no longer is if it ever was.

I have never noticed expensive cards showing up turns 1-3