No one but Blizzard knows for sure, but there is a WoW Addon called CensusPlus, it records some data that shows who is online at the time players run it, assuming they also upload their data.
A month ago there was 1.7 million showing on their site, tonight I am seeing 1.2 million only and this bad, very bad. Either those who use Census are not using it, have left or this really is the situation, 500K players in a month gone.
So in MoP I was in a guild with some 800+ players and many thousands of characters, we were very very active and at the time as an officer in the guild I had plenty of interaction with the guild doing officer stuff, maybe more than even running content, just doing what I can to keep it running.
It got too much so the core group of about 50 players bailed and formed our own guild, which is the same one I am still a part of and up until this week we have always had 2 raids going until more towards the end of patches when there was no new content coming, just players doing quick runs, achievements, Xmog and so on.
Tonight, what is it, 3 months since BfA dropped and we already have only one raid going and only 1 hour in that raid just disbanded. And I am seeing this quite a bit here, players stating there are no pug raids on Alliance and not enough even for their usual guild runs.
Communities that we have built up over time, over many years, just disappearing into thin air. Yes some players leave, some take breaks like I have done and some just get sick of the same thing so they change their course, raiding into PVP, or M+ or even just LFG so they can still play but with no stress, but to have no raids on raid night, issues trying to find a good group for M+ and, the kicker:
- There are 358 players only in my CensusPlus addon for the horde across Thaurissan and Dreadmaul who are currently logged in total.
This app takes a snapshot of all players on the /who from level 20 > 120. Again, it may not be accurate, so please don’t come here preaching my information is wrong, I know there is a good chance it is, but what else do we have to work with?
Blizzard are too afraid to tell us how bad it has become, and honestly just being in game and seeing how it is we don’t need numbers to tell us that.