Valor Points decision - notes to self

Maybe my thought process here will help others, or maybe you’ll see something I didn’t.

A cool main hand dropped, mythic 5/13. ilvl 389.
It’s a healing sword so I can mog to Quelserrar AND it has Haste.
Most healing main hands are maces.
I have 1625 valor.
If I spend 1500 points I can upgrade it to 7/13 ilvl 395.
I don’t see myself going farther than heroic in vault, so best main hand in vault would be 408 but it’s a mace.
To upgrade my sword to ilvl 408 I’d have to spend another 2875 valor which will take 4 weeks.
With the mythic valor sword I can also go up to 415 but I’m not sure I can hit that level.
So what am I saving my valor up for anyway? Mythic trinkets.
I’m not wasting valor on non-tier pieces.
I already have the only two trinkets I like.
They only drop from one mythic dungeon each.
Healing swords drop from only two mythic dungeons (and not Vault) and they both have Haste.
In 4 weeks I will have 8 chances for another sword drop.
In 18 total runs for both dungeons this is the first time a sword has dropped AFAIRemember.
Wowdb says 6% for each sword.
I might have to roll against some scrub.
Oh I forgot bank vault rewards. Well there’s that too.
My mythic trinkets are 1.2% and 9% drop rate. Woof. I love that 1.2% trinket (Flask of the Solemn Night).
Vault Incarnate trinkets aren’t that thrilling to me. maybe the Whispering trinket but I still like Flask better.
If I upgrade the trinket that’s better ilvl wise (two ilvl ratings) which helps with invites, but it’s unsexy.
If I upgrade the sword I get a much better stat increase but only an increase of half an ilvl on my gear.
How about splitting valor between the two?
I guess I have to upgrade the trinket. It’ll never drop again. That also limits me to a cheap enchant on the sword.
Is min/maxing any way to live?
Maybe don’t spend valor at all because I’ll be committing to pieces of gear and there’ll be fewer drops to hope for.
Maybe this is moot. I’m likely going to burn out in a month or two anyway, and if I come back it’ll be next mythic season.
What to do. What to do.

TL:DR the valor system feels bad. Best option is honestly just to get crafted stuff and throw valor at low cost things like wrists, rings, back, maybe trinkets.

Yup it feels awful, refuse to rank my weapon because of it. 750 points a week lmao.

You answered your own question. Tier and trinkets.

Craft weapons.