UPDATE 2 11/8/19
It would seem Blizzard has decided to make this an issue again. So I am bumping this thread.
Since launch there have been several attempts to get an idea of what server pops look like. From reddit polls to tracking people using the Wowhead addon.
Generally it was helpful for people who hadn’t yet decided on a server. But I believe that with the addition of free server transfers those numbers have caused a lot of problems.
Yes, we now know that Wowhead tracking wasn’t that accurate, especially with transfers on-going. Yet those earlier numbers, and the sentiment generated by them, are still circulating.
Lets use this graph linked to the Wowhead census in early September as an example. Specifically Stalagg.
https://wow.zamimg.com/uploads/screenshots/normal/867949.jpg
Now when this was linked in the unofficial Stalagg discord it didn’t take long for people everywhere to start talking about it in-game. A few days later the discord post was removed because it was decided that the information provided wasn’t accurate. And that the realm population was most likely more balanced to the point of 45/55 at the very least. Of course all of those posts have now been deleted (hopefully for the purpose of not confusing people.) Unfortunately the damage was already done, and continues to worsen.
Since transfers to Heartseeker opened up, we have seen a large exodus of Alliance players off of Stalagg.
We can at the very least confirm that a lot of raiding guilds and their communities have left. The sentiment in world is that a lot of people have/are moving which is making others think that it is now something to consider.
The result? Stalagg is now legimitely looking like its becoming very Horde heavy. And since the newer servers aren’t seeing the flood of newbies like the initial servers, Heartseeker is looking Alliance stacked to the point where the Horde there are probably only a 5th of the overall pop.
Now I could be wrong with any of this of course as I have no concrete evidence without official numbers. But what I can say is that I know of many communities that have left. The sentiment has likely affected others too. And that now Stalagg, which was one of the PvP servers with the highest queues at launch, now never has a queue. And despite it still having some of the more “hardcore” NA progression guilds like Grizzly, which can attract like-minded players, goes below the population of Rp-pvp servers sometimes.
Now for the point of this post. I don’t expect Blizzard to do anything about it. They’ve probably come to terms with having to allow for paid transfers once layers are removed.
But my hopes are that the people who still play on Stalagg see this and understand that transfering to Heartseeker is NOT going to solve every problem. You trade one issue for another. If you wanted to never run into Horde for pvp then you should have rolled on a PvE server. And come phase 2 Heartseeker will end up dead due to their extreme imbalance. Yeah we’ve been dealt a lose/lose worse situation and nothing will be done about it. So please stay on Stalagg.
Everyone else on other servers also need to be careful when thinking about moving. We might be the more extreme case but the same can happen anywhere.