The population problem

Right now is about the time for Blizzard to come clean and admit their mistake and try to fix it.

The people who signed up to play day 1 Classic are a mixed bag. They are a lot of retail people who wanted to experience what classic was like, and the die hard classic loving group.

Putting aside the classic group that might not enjoy the game and might not stick around we have the die hards. The die hards subbed in advance, boosting sub numbers, reserving names and wanting to see the release. These players have a very high propensity to not go anywhere. They are split into two groups, those who have been playing on private servers and those who have been not playing for years just waiting for a chance to go back.

Lets just pretend that last night this group was split 50/50 with retail players checking out Classic. It wasn’t, (there were far more hardcore Classic lovers), but lets just pretend. Now lets pretend 100% of the retail crowd wont stick around and that 20% of the die hard players only stick around. That means that with the current server populations, if they remove layering at the end of phase I we are looking at 20 to 30k people PER SERVER. That is not going to work and Blizzard knows this.

Blizzard has made a huge mistake by not adding in enough servers. People formed guildes and planned out their stay based on pre-launch information. Groups of people coordinated with each other.

That leaves Blizzard with only one option. Open up a ton more servers, give people the chance to move to those servers (NOW), and hope they do. Because the largest deterrent to people playing classic long term is server queues. I am not talking about this week or next week, I am talking about long term server queues.

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A lot of servers are dealing with a severe UNDERpopulation problem right now

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They’re not gonna do that, man.

For them, your short term need for a fix does not outweigh their long term desire for realms that aren’t dead.

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You didnt read the post did you? The realms are not going to be dead. The millions of people playing today are basically the die hards.

I read the post just fine, I just don’t pay attention to people passing their assumptions off as fact.

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Your right. Except I never said it was fact, I gave very low ball estimates. Chances are it is even worse.

We are in the “you think you do”

They will be leaving in droves when we hit the "but you don’t "

I must say a developed Characater Transfer system for Classic would resolve a lot of this. people could move to less populated servers and move back when things die off if they do.
Just leave free characters transfers open for a few months till things settle down.
it’s all automatic its not like people are manually moving characters.

Except they wont hit that.

Man, you are throwing out a whole lot of “facts” with zero evidence.

Proven fact: people will leave.

Lots

The “population” problem is already resolving itself. The majority of servers have no queue times this morning. The majority will have low or no queues tonight.

It’ll be interesting to see what this weekend looks like.

I think that would just put more stress on them right now

Yes yes they are.
See I can speculate too.
Nobody knows for sure what the population will be in 3,6, 9, months.

His reply should be “The science is settled!”.