I’m not in the 100s like maybe some others but im curious given that the event buffed all these by 5%.
I’ve ran Nighthold mythic and heroic 2 weeks in a row now on 13 characters each, so 26 attempts each week?. Not sure how it works when a boss can drop 2 mounts due to mythic mode having the mythic version of the mount and then also dropping the N/H version. On Mythic is it considered 2 attempts then? So
26 mythic + 13 non-mythic per week == 39
39 x 2 weeks = 78 attempts
assuming exactly 5% drop chance (underestimate) on ~https ://dropchance.app/ I appear to be very unlucky
Im at 65 during the buff, not counting the 20 or so times i ran it before then. I wouldnt be surprised if i dont get it with my next 70 or so attempts on the next couple weeks.
Bad luck for sure. Assuming your math is correct on number of attempts it’s a 98% probability of having one drop by now. So you are 2 of 100. Hang in there plenty of time left. Roll that nat20!
I’d say those are pretty unlucky odds.
Not the worst but it’s down there.
2 in 100 people will experience that streak of bad luck. That’s worse than average, sure, but it’s not that big when you consider the number of people who play the game.
1 Like