I mainly do recruitment for 2 raid teams for my guild.
I can tell you guilds ARE dieing in droves on skeram. There was 3 guilds that folded this week alone that I know of, because we’ve recruited out of them the players still wanting to play.
It doesnt really matter though, its mainly just people taking breaks in prep for TBC and I firmly believe youll have a boon of people come back once prepatch hits.
Tottally possible that without a prepatch tho people let there sub lapse for 2 months and come back when prepatch hits to prepare in earnest for tbc.