What you are seeing, is the fundamental flaw of ironfur design. Let’s compare bear passive mitigation, vs warrior passive mitigation:
Armor from gear: at one point, bear form gave more passive armor from leather than warriors got from plate. This was at some point normalized to just be equivalent within tiny tiny margins, like maybe 50 extra armor for bear or warrior at equal ilvl.
Warrior:
Vanguard passive: 80% of strength as armor, all the time, no matter what.
Shield:. Huge chunk of armor, on a slot that bears can’t get armor in.
Now for stamina:
Vanguard gives you 70% more stamina.
Bear gives 45% more stamina.
Bear only pulls ahead in raw health(and just barely) because their mastery, and only at about 14 percent mastery or more, which means sacrificing other secondaries.
Edit:. It occurs to me that the mastery percentage will jump considerably when the neck no longer functions. Our mastery is currently getting more mileage from the huge stamina boost that our neck gives at 80+. There is no equivalent that I’m aware of in shadowlands. So warriors will just straight have more health too, unless we hard stack mastery
Other sources of passive mitigation:
Thick hide passive for bear is I believe 6% right now, from it’s legion high of 10%. Nerfed mid legion to discourage non bears from taking guardian spec as a default, but never reverted.
Warrior has passive shield block, which I’m finding hard to get solid numbers on, but would be willing to bet equates to a much higher mitigation than 6%.
But ironfur makes it all up? Right? No.
Ironfur is 75% of your agi for 7 second. So an afk warrior has MORE than a stack of ironfur up at all times, full stop. Even a second cast of ironfur just barely pulls us ahead of a warrior’s shield. It takes three stacks of ironfur, to actually convincingly exceed a warrior’s passive mitigation against physical damage.
An even more fun exercise is to do a side by side comparison of warrior active mitigation versus druid. The only place we beat them ther, is the shield wall vs SI comparison. Many of their buttons, we don’t even have an equivalent to(even if we used to, like aoe taunt, which they gave back to every tank that had it, BUT druid)
Demo shout:. 30% damage reduction on a 45 second cooldown.
Bark skin:. 20% on a minute long cooldown.
End of day, bear is severely undertuned in comparison to warrior. If you told me that some vindictive warrior was our primary dev, I’d believe you. All of our class power is being consolidated on resto, and guardian is apparently being deleted to “justify” it.