Greetings adventurers! Not sure if this guy is bugged or something but I have been killing him for a day and a half and not a single ray gun toy drop! Surely this isn’t bad rng. Anyone else experiencing this problem???
It is just bad RNG. Took me a while too. It’s a rare drop, but you’ll get it eventually. Just keep at it!
well I’ve killed him over 100 times so mathematically its impossible if my numbers are right–when did you get the toy? recent? i think they crossed some wires during pre-patch because obviously something is afoot here…
Depends on if your chances are with replacement or without replacement. The mount by Rivendare is without replacement.
Not sure what you mean by with or without replacement…
If anyone from the Blizz team actually reads these forums then PLEASE fix this droprate!
Every drop rate is independent of your previous attempts in this game. You could go an entire lifetime without ever getting a 1% drop technically. It’d just be a really rare occurance. 0.01% droprates though, that’s something that happens to a lot of people. They never get the drop.
Nothing is impossible. Some people have killed some rare mount dropping bosses thousands of times before they got the mount to drop.
hmm, interesting thanks
You have a deck of cards. You are trying to pick a 4 of hearts from the deck. Your chance is 1/52, or 1.9% that you will select the 4 of hearts. You pick the first card and it is the ace of spades.
If you place the card back in the deck (with replacement) your chances of getting the 4 of hearts will be the same. If you discard the ace of spades (without replacement), now your deck has 51 cards. Your chance of picking the 4 of hearts is now 1/51 or 1.96%.
That’s a well worded explanation, tyvm pal
Not a problem. Boolboogie Paha to you (another way of saying Happy Shadowlands Eve).
That’s not how statistics works at all.
I’m now well aware thanks to the Bean and others, thanks though.
Dr. Weavil exists in retail?!?!?!
267 kills still no toy—this is ABSURD! he must be bugged!
Yeah i don’t think you understand what a rare occurrence really is. Like doing the headless horseman mount 1500+ times you should have it by then. Past a certain point it would be like the statistical improbability of you getting hit by a meteorite and lightning at the same time you had a heart attack on the day you won the lottery. Yeah it’s technically possible but uhh… also not really?
So either the RNG is broken and not truly reflecting its intended percent chance or you somehow became the “luckiest” person in the universe. But since so many people usually share the same similar experience of being so statistically “lucky” I’m gonna lean towards the fact the RNG system in this game is inaccurate.
??? it’s not some form of magic lol, it could happen to anyone technically. The rng isn’t broken if you never get the drop, that’s just rng being literal rng.
I never said it’s magic? Nothing I said was magic.
The thing you can’t comprehend is how little of a deal 1% is. You act like it’s some unrealistic odds that you can never hope to get. But it’s such a common occurrence when given enough chances.
After like 100 attempts it’s basically like flipping a coin whether or not you should have it by then. But after like 1000, 2000, 5000… you shouldn’t be farming for it anymore.
Do you seriously think someone can farm a mount like a million times at a 1% drop rate and still not get the mount without being some freak statistical anomaly? If that were the case then they would be the only one ever complaining about it btw. Not having multiple people sharing the same experience of something that’s supposed to be a statistical anomaly.
Wouldn’t the mount from Rivendare be with replacement? You can run Rivendare a million times and it will always be the same drop rate. By your own description, with replacement means that the chance of getting the 4 of hearts (the mount) is the same each time you draw.
(Presuming, that is, that they don’t change the drop rate of course. :P)