Issue: Since I upgraded my Garrison to level 3 there hasn’t been any profession trader spawning, only Muradin who seems to be there either for a few days or every other day, SI:7 or Harrison. I truly need the herb profession trader to spawn at least once. I have been checking daily for weeks and still nothing. It’s not that I haven’t seen the herb trader “in a while” the herb trader NEVER spawned since I upgraded my garrison weeks ago.
Let’s do some Maths, there are 5 profession traders and 3 other NPC’s (Muradin Harrison and SI:7 Goblin). In maybe 21 days or more the same 3 NPC’s have spawned not a single profession trader spawned on my Alt character Trinibanktwo that gives an average of the same NPC spawning for 7 days. I’ve had Muradin spawn 3 times this week (Wednesday, Thursday, and today, SI:7 once harrison two times. For the first time ever a leather trader spawned Friday so I thought oh ok yes maybe the issue has been resolved I’ll probably get to see another profession trader again yesterday. NOPE WRONG Muradin strikes again and today SI:7!
I have been logging in every single day. Do not just tell me this is random, why am I getting the other NPCs so regular explain that to me?
Thank You.
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First, just in case you are under the impression that the 5 traders and 3 other NPCs are all possibilities each day (can’t completely tell from how you phrased your second paragraph) this is not how it works.
Each day there is a random chance of 4 - Muradin, Harrison, SI:7 and “Trader of the Day”. Which trader happens to be “Trader of the Day” is on a set rotation. I think today was Ore, so everybody who got a trader today got the Ore trader.
The rotation goes Ore > Dust > Fur > Leather > Herb. So in 4 days (Thursday) there is a chance the Herb trader will spawn for people. If it does not spawn for you, then you might try asking in Trade chat. People can invite you to their garrison and you can use their trader if they have it available (and as long as they stay in the garrison with you).
As far as math goes, we don’t actually know what the chance is of each NPC spawning. I don’t think anybody collects that data. It doesn’t have to be equal, and anecdotal evidence does lean towards traders being a rarer spawn.
But - even if they are each 1 in 4, the chance of 21 days in a row without one particular one is 1 in 420ish, so you would expect that to happen to you almost once a year. So it is annoying but not that unlikely.
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Thanks for that breakdown it does ease my annoyance towards this spawn rate. As for asking someone in trade chat the server is dead most times. Trade chat is also dead so no one to switch to garrisons and well group finder useless cause nobody pays attention to previous expansions anymore which sucks. Plus I was telling the truth that not a single trader spawned to date except that one leather trader which is 1 trader spawn among 21+ days. Which is why a gamemaster told me to report it to the forum in case it was bugged.