I think we could. Now whether it’ll be less, equal to or more than the 1983 crash, I’m not sure. But I’m predicting by 2023-2025 at the latest we’ll probably be having some kind of recession.
I be sure have Jim sterling on the line.
Please do.
Whats the reasoning though behind this? Not being a smartass just curious. I do notice more and more negative feedback to gaming companies, but that could just perhaps mean a change in direction for the companies themselves. People (especially nowadays) arent going to just forget about gaming or leave it abandoned, 1980’s were a different time when they were meh and people didnt care AS much about them.
Issue with MMO’s period is the use of desktops is on a dramatic decline. Blizzard attempted to head this off with that disaster launch of Diablo:Immortal.
I hope we do, if nothing else it would probably do away with the pay to win model that so many companies use now… m i c r o t r a n s a c t i o n s that add up to very macro transactions.
Something’s gotta give. Too many companies being downright shady nowadays looking at you 2k
Hate to say it but in few years gaming is going to change a lot, and not in a crashing fashion. VR.
I wouldnt necessarily say its on a dramatic decline, PC gamers still pull ahead of console ones though it isnt by a huge margin. Even if people do eventually sway more towards consoles for simplicity and such, there will still be a very large market on pc’s and thus (hopefully mmo’s). But the genre of mmo is declining sure (which is sad theyre the ONLY games imo that are worth getting into).
We still have WoW, and games like ESO and Final Fantasy, Runescape, GW, etc, etc that are pulling great to decent numbers.
Yeah that’s the main thing in my opinion that’s negative, is the microtransactions. It makes companies lazy while making more money with little work. Now is that the only thing. Definitely not, there’s lots of problems atm, but it’s seriously a huge problem.
“It happened 36 years ago, so, it could, maybe, happen again in 4-6 years.”
Your keen economic insight is astounding.
Well I would Iike to believe so. Usually my predictions of the economy are right.
I definitely think gaming is headed to a lull right now especially PC gaming. Nobody I know plays PC games anymore its just consoles or mobile games. Online gaming especially MMORPG need something new to get people excited again and WoW isn’t whats going to do it.
PC Gamers have been behind Console Games since 2015. Both are behind Mobile Games on smartphones in terms of players, income, and penetration. Of course there is also overlap in all three platforms.
https://www.wepc.com/news/video-game-statistics/
The video game crash is already here my dude/dudette. All of these new games and expansions including blizzard have been dog poop. look at fallout 4 and fallout 74 for example. Game developers are are actually getting into lawsuits because of the lack of quality and also the dishonesty that game developers nowadays are portraying.
I’ve read articles saying PC gamers were ahead as well. Regardless, theres a huge base on all of the platforms in the end. Because MMO’s really only work well on PC’s people who play MMO’s for that purpose, will game them on consoles anyways.
Mobile is another story, most popular as it is very easy as literally everyone has a phone now, easier to find time to play games on a phone then other platforms, they’re also riddled with more micro transactions than anything.
I don’t think there will be a crash especially nothing like the Atari days where video games were about done until Nintendo rushed in to save the day.
What we play on however does need to evolve not just slightly improve.
I do think we’re on the cusp of a fourth industrial revolution and certainly greater technology including entertainment.
Now If we only had the technology for true full dive gaming like in the movie
Ready Player One today.
Imagine something like that in Azeroth or other MMO worlds. Would be insane haha. If only.
I’m sure it’ll happen, but I don’t think it will be as significant as the 83 crash. After the 83 crash we all thought video games were done forever. Then Nintendo made it hot again. The next crash will have an overall larger loss of profit just because the market is so much larger, but I doubt it will tank the whole market to the point we think it’s dead. We may lose some of the big publishers and developers.
From where I’m sitting it seems like the last half of 2018 has seen a massive increase in game developers turning to microtransactions and lootbox type features. It seems like they’ve also started shifting away from making good quality games that sell well because they’re fun and well polished and more towards designing games to be psychologically addicting and easily iterated on for annual release schedules.
EA has been doing this for a while now with games like FIFA and Battlefront2 but now companies like Activision and Bethesda have joined in with trying to see just how far they can push the line before either gamers reject them or government has to step in. Black Ops 4 is a full retail priced game but also has a microtransaction structure that would make you think it was free-to-play. Even Fortnite, a game that actually is free-to-play has been caught trying to unethically market higher-than-normally priced skin bundles to unsuspecting parents during the Christmas season.
Unfortunately what’s probably going to happen is that gamers won’t stop gaming, they’ll just become more casual and start playing the more casual, free-to-play, microtransaction heavy casual games.
(This is opinion not fact)
I blame Esports for the lack of quality games, too many people are #SubParMLG and the market is so saturated. Hell I see my friends still playing Skyrim and New Vegas because its fun. 76 kind of garbo, BFA sort of Garbo, Fortnite pretty much Garbo, Atlas Garbo, League sort of fun, Overwatch esports Garbo, Horizon garbo, Assassins Creed Garbo, Battlefield 5 mediocre Garbo, FFXIV partial fun, Soul Calibur 6 stagnant, Red Dead Redemption 2 fun, Diablo garbo, Flappy birds mundane garbo, Minecraft Double yeet dab, Destiny 2 started Garbo then DLC now not garbo. You get gist, games are just getting to the point where so many are falling down. Not sure why, maybe someone has insight?