What the hell???
Explain blizzard!!!
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Without sample size, we canât be certain about the outliers.
But the data does show the +5% increase on pretty much everything, so whatâs your point?
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They have error bars in the post.
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if you read the post, they say anything under 4% has issues which includes 6 mounts
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Yeah, some are 16% higher. Heâs trying to be a victim, but itâs a stretch.
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Itâs just really uncool Blizzard.
I do realize that, but thatâs their estimate.
Iâd need the sample size to calculate for different CIs.
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Some mounts cannot be dropped for players who already have them. This can lead to a lower-than-expected drop percentage for these mounts when soloing.
This mostly applies to mounts from Legion through Shadowlands.
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Itâs too bad weâll never get the full details from Blizzard themselves. Theyâve always been cagey about drop rates for anything thatâs not 100% for some reason.
Initial announcement for the event said âup to 10x increaseâ with one mention of a 25x increase, then a followup post mentioned +5% to the drop rate, and now we have Wowhead providing unofficial data (though provided by players) that indicates the actual buff is neither of the things Blizz announced, because most mounts are still below a 5% drop rate and a couple are nearly 20%.
It seems like they still went with applying a multiplier rather than a flat increase, but there are also the noted mounts that seem to not have any increase applied at all. But at any rate, Wowheadâs data is unofficial and theyâve noted in the past that sometimes drop rates can be incorrectly reported in their database for various reasons.
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Because it keeps people playing.
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Eh, I donât really follow the reasoning for that. People would also âkeep playingâ if they could get notified of a 5% drop rate from Blizzard themselves rather than looking it up on Wowhead, wouldnât they?
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They did lol.
Theyâre using a 95% CI which is common. What CIs do you think are more useful?
90 or 99%.
95% is the norm, yes, but I like seeing all the possibilities for the data.
Maybe even estimating using something other than normal pdf for fun XD.
I mean in general. Outside of the advertised buff for this event, we donât know what the normal drop rates for any of this stuff is, nor do we know what the drop rates are during the event. Blizz doesnât tell us, and it doesnât really make sense to me as to why since I donât see knowing really changing anything versus keeping it a secret.
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?
One mount and only a small sample size of data⌠Come on dudeâŚ
Also, lets say itâs not buffed as it should be. Thats called a bug. You report that. The fact that you immediately jump to âBlizzard is lying!â When thats clearly not the case is just really sad.
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Explains why the nighthold ones never seem to drop
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We have a pretty hood indicator based upon the sample. Giving the exact drop rate would just be a lightning rod for the already insufferable, and if they came right out and said the drop rate is exactly 5%, people would run it twenty times and scream bloody murder if it doesnât drop.
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yep, me and a few others struggling with the green one in particular. I have 17 chars to been farming it on, on 3 difficulties. I was initially suspicious about the drop rates on these mounts and now I see this article.
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