I think your list does a good job of explaining most of the people I’ve seen opine about forced win rates. I’m not sure it describes everything I’ve seen though, in that the people who seem to have thought about this the most have some really complex Rube Goldbergian matchmakers that they’ve constructed in their head to attempt to explain the following contradiction:
- They believe the best players get dropped down to the lowest ranks. So better players lose more matches and derank further and further.
- Yet streamers consistently rank up from the lowest ranks with crazy win rates.
I’ve seen Rigged literally suggest that the matchmaker somehow whitelists these streamers and that they get treated differently by the matchmaker than others. Rigged has also suggested that he is blacklisted by the matchmaker.
And he will sometimes suggest that the game will literally adjust things like hitboxes in real time in order to ensure that he (and presumably others who are blacklisted) lose matches and to ensure that streamers (and presumably others who are whitelisted) win matches.
I think there was someone in this thread above who mentioned something similar about the behavior of the game literally changing for streamers who are in bronze.
And I think this is interesting for a couple of reasons. The first is that it reminds me of the extreme lengths that some went to in order to continue to assert that the universe was geocentric. I sort of think of these bizarrely complex matchmaker conspiracy theories as “sphere” theories, they begin simple enough:
- I think I am better than my peers and should be ranked higher.
- Therefore, something other than my skill [the matchmaker] is holding me back.
But they quickly run into problems.
- Others are able to rank up
And every time they encounter a problem, they add another sphere (just as those who tried to justify a geocentric model of the universe did.) And, at some point, you find yourself adding so many spheres you get to the point that Rigged is at, where you essentially throw your hands up in disgust at how complex your model has become and just assert that the game literally shifts things like hit box size depending on whether it likes you or not.
I suppose the second reason I find this fascinating is tied to the first- it becomes increasingly clear as people construct more and more bizarrely complex models that the only methodology involved is the following:
I will do whatever I have to in order to believe that my rank is not tied to my skill as a player.
And that is a very poor methodology indeed. If one is not careful, it will inform one’s other intellectual inquiries. There’s a decent amount of evidence that people who believe one conspiracy theory will tend to believe other, unrelated conspiracy theories.
This whole “rigged matchmaker” thing is a pernicious intellectual virus that sickens none more than those who espouse it.