I’ve already debunked this on another post and since I am unable to link to it I’ll post it here as well:
The argument that the wins and losses are forced is just circular logic.
If you reason it out it does not make sense.
If you assume that forced losing streaks and forced win streaks exist then uou have to assume that the system is holding you back or carrying you respectively. For this to work it would mean your skill is essentially irrelevant in this as no matter how good or bad you are playing the system manipulates your teammates and opponents skill. Your skill would not be allowed to manipulate the outcome in this system.
Therefore by this logic your win or loss is dependant on the skill of your team mates and the skill of the opponents. If their skill is relevant then therefore your skill in relation to the other players is relevant. You now have a logical paradox and the Occam’s razor solution would be that there is no manipulation of your wins/losses to begin with.
If the system is in fact manipulating your wins and losses this is unverifiable by just yourself. You only have the perspecive of 1 player out of 11. You would have to have had the perspecive of all 12 players to at least begin to attempt to verify this. You also are observing the results with a personal bias. You have a vested interest in winning and climbing which is your bias. This would need to be observed by an impartial party that has no vested interest in the match outcome. Then many different games with many different players spanning the gamut of SR ranges would have to be obseved and analyzed.
Given the above there would also need to be controls put into place. That would mean each player would have to have had the same amount of sleep, have eaten the same foods, be in the same state of mind, etc. This is because you would have to eliminate all outside variables that could skew the results of the system. Any outside variable no matter how small would cast doubt on the results because the question would remain, if it was the variable that changed the results or if it was the effect of the system.
Since in reality these variables are numerous in reality then empirical evidence is therefore not reliable enough to be conclusive. However since these variables are also impossible to remove (due to human nature) then this would also be unverifiable.
The variables themselves cause so much of a problem in verifying the theory that win/losses are manipulated that it then becomes unverifiable. However since these variables cause this problem they would also cause problems for the system to be able to effectively manipulate the players win/loss due to not being able to know how a player will actually perform in any given game. It would have issues being able to predetermine the choices a player will make during the match. Because of this, even if it used players average skill to manipulate the match outcome it is likely that outside variables would skew the results in either direction regardless.
So to conclude, when we look at the logic of this theory we encounter a paradox and we also know that outside variables have a large impact on the performance of the system. Since the theory is both not logically sound and it cannot be varified it is not likely to be true. We also encounter the human element as being a repeating theme that it is much more likely to be the true cause of the streaks that people experience. However you have the power to manipulate your own variables and not the variables of other players. Regardless of how the system works, manipulating your own variables in your favor would be how you increase your odds of winning.