Heyo. Going into S14, I know a lot of people are really excited for Hazard -me too! But what I am tentatively more excited about might be some actual balance changes for the support role. I play GM support and coach down through gold (and have been playing since OW1’s launch), and I think I am actually hard pressed to think of a time when there has been such a boring ‘must pick or lose’ batch of heros in the support category as now. Juno+Brig or Ana truly feel like they are absolutely must pick right now. Their absolute dominance in what we have as kind of ‘soft numbers’ on Overbuff (as Overbuff can only be used as a general tool; the data is ‘similar’ to internal data, according to the devs, but obviously is not full data, and can not be used as gospel) almost can not be ignored. We obviously also can see professional matches, and any streamed scrims. On top of that, data we do have access to is the T500 leaderboard, which can be a surprisingly useful tool to track trends. I think it’s pretty hard to ignore that there is a fairly clear problem in the support role right now, lol.
For a point of reference, in the T500 leaderboard early on for this season, we had our top 3 PRs as; Juno 380 picks, Ana with 286 picks, and Brig at 235 picks. (this means our top PR hero in T500 had a higher PR than the bottom 7, nearly 8, supports combined). But Juno had only been out a few weeks (I waited a few weeks for her PR to settle before pulling data), so they hadn’t had a great opportunity to balance her. Surely the MSP patch would help, right?
Post MSP (which was Nov 12. I waited a bit again to pull data to allow the changes some time to breathe), Our top 3 performers in T500 were Juno with 400 picks, Brig with 306, and Ana with 282. This was the patch where they barely nerfed Juno, and (imo) pretty strongly buffed Ana (for some reason??). Juno’s PR went up by 20, Ana’s had dropped by 4, but Brig (who was unchanged balance-wise) went up by 71 picks.
After a recent pass through to check where we stand in regards to T500 PRs (which I always run against my own sentiments from playing/coaching several hours a day, forums/streamer noise, pro play, and some overbuff stats to form my judgements), we (as of 12/1) have Juno at 391, Brig at 320, and Ana at 312. Juno dropped by 3 picks (though still a net gain this season despite nerfs), Brig jumped by a further 14 picks (so she is up a total of 85 slots in T500), and Ana gained 30 after more adjustment time to her buffs (so she is up 26 slots).
Reading this, and if we use T500 as a guideline (along with the pro scene, where there is even less rigidity), the gulf between the ‘must pick’ supports, and the ‘throw picks’ is getting wider and wider. The team has had months to address this, and their only answer was buffing Ana and a slap on the wrist for Juno which, as we can see, did nearly nothing for her overall usefulness.
That being said, with the hope that the team can see the problem -since they surely have even more internal data they can draw from-, what would you do to try to level the playing field in the support role some? I’m in favor of nerfing the overperformers down; powercreep and healcreep is already starting to inch up from S9 again, and the Ana buff spiked both of those, to be honest. So I think buffing any of the support cast simply because they’re nowhere close to as good as these three heros would start a snowball effect. Better to nerf -perhaps even strongly- the top performers without any pairing buffs for the cast to see where the dust settles. From there, we can see who actually needs any upward adjustments (if any!) and tweak as needed. I’d rather a stronger approach to balance because at least the game will feel fresh or interesting for a little while, as opposed to their tedious doling out the tiniest sliver of nerfs at a time which is like prolonging torture.
So where would you all start with adjustments, do you think?