I know right. What’s really surprising is the fact that TC found 100 Stygian Stone in a week. I barely found 10 so far.
Believe what you want; it is true. With trade, you can easily buy 100 stones and multiple runs. Just did 10 more, and no mythic. So, I am done for the season.
Aye, that would be crossing 750% chance total
I know it doesnt work like that, but still gives you an idea
With perfect accuracy ( which is never the case )
You should find 1 mythic every 14 tormented kills 
Obviously, 0 out of 100, sounds very very unlucky/unlikely ( even if possible )
It was about the same chance last season. I did over 80 and got nothing. Some people like me just have bad luck. It’s 1.5% chance.
I hope they have some sort of internal system where if they find you buy mats, you dont get ubers. 
Being able to trade for mats in a game where they didn’t bother to add a decent trade system to the game is criminal.
Some people don’t want to go to third party sites/discords just to play the game at a reasonable pace.
Even Path of Exile finally caved and at least added a trade system for currency items.
My buddy and I did 1 rotation of Lord Zir. Four kills. He got Andariel’s Visage and Tyrael’s Might with a DR greater affix.
RNG is RNG.
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According to ChatGPT, you are unlucky (but not unfairly biased):
If an event with a 1.5% chance of occurring does not happen at all in 100 trials, it can still be a result of random variation. Here’s how to analyze this situation:
Calculate the Probability of No Occurrences:
- The probability of the event not occurring in a single trial is ( 1 - 0.015 = 0.985 ).
- The probability of the event not occurring at all in 100 trials is ( 0.985^{100} ).
Let’s calculate this:
0.985^{100} = 0.223
So, there’s approximately a 22.3% chance of the event not occurring at all in 100 trials, even if the true probability is 1.5%.
This result shows that it’s not unusual to see zero occurrences in this scenario due to chance alone.
On the flip side, according to ChatGPT, your friends in the party getting 4 mythics out of 100 trials are nearly equally as lucky as you are unlucky:
The cumulative probability of observing 4 or more successes out of 100 trials, when the probability of success is 1.5%, is approximately 0.240 or 24%. This means that observing 4 or more successes is reasonably likely, and such an outcome may not strongly indicate bias by itself.
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“Never tell me the odds”
C3PO really told Han odds, which were terrible at 3720 to 1 against surviving and no one wants to hear that of course.
These odds for the 4 successes in 100 are less straightforward:
- Probability of the event occurring: 24% or 0.24
- Odds in favor of the event occurring: 6:19
- Odds against the event occurring: 19:6
It is not a 1.5% chance out of 100. There are 5 drops in each run that have a 1.5% chance. So it is a 1.5% event not occurring in 500 trials.
So, the probability of the event with a 1.5% chance of occurring not happening at all in 500 trials is approximately 1.33×10−91.33 \times 10^{-9}1.33×10−9, which is an extremely small probability.
Again, this is bull blizzard put in a mercy counter!
Well which ever the case, it was probably better of him to make alts instead.
Oh yeah, Season 5 is definitely my time to shine! I just got Ring of Starless Skies from Tormented Varshan.
My runs so far:
- 2 Tormented Grig
- 2 Tormented Duriel
- 1 Tormented Andariel
- 2 Tormented Zig
- 1 Tormented Varshan
So far I got three useful things:
- 2 Ubers
- Tal Rasha that I had been looking forever
8 runs and 2 Ubers 
I have been playjng since the game the released and I have still never found a mythic, that’s just the way it goes.
I am at 40 runs in a group. which means 160 bosses, I have gotten 1 mystic. Lets also keep in mind these are tormented runs which are equal to 3-5 regular bosses. It would be the equivalent of doing about 500 boss runs in season 2. I am not sure if they cut back the drop rate but it sure seems like it compared to every previous season as I have never had this many fights for so little gain, of note the groups are not really posting many either.
For a shortened season you would think they would have increased the drop rate if anything. My luck has been bad so far and judging by the groups im in rarely linking mythics on bosses it seems like it is an issue. Could just be RNG but ive played every season and have never gotten so few mythics for the amount of bosses ive run.
I personally don’t believe the drop rate is the same as last season.
I have never ran so many Tormented in succession with no Uber / Mythic drop.
I was consistently running an average of 10-15 bosses per Uber drop. There were dry spells but often followed by shorter delay between then next Uber item. Pre-Tormented Uber item was close to 1 per 100 Duriels.
Perhaps they have reduced the single chance and multiplied it by the five separate chances. Could just be me but my son is having around the same drop rate.
How do people have 25 Stygian Stones so soon? I got some, maybe 4-5 from the renown thing but other than that I’ve only had one legitimately drop.
I agree low drop chance. Im curious what chat gtp says if you include that you have 5 chances per kill. Really 100 kills is like 500 chances at 1.5% each, not 100 chances.
Luck is still luck. Last season alone I killed over 80 bosses with zero drops. I have yet to see an uber.