Some thoughts on Uber unique drop rates outside duriel

So with the patch notes up and people losing their minds I started thinking about what is a good drop rate? And a realistic expectation. Sure we’d all love to see 5% from every mob you kill everywhere but that’s never going to happen.

Let’s say during a typical dungeon run, nightmare or otherwise, you kill on average about 100 mobs if you killed every single thing in it. A 1% drop rate would pretty much get you one baring bad luck.

1 nmd seems a bit too generous for an Uber. 0.1% would be about 10 nmd which again seems a little too easy, as a barb I could probably knock that out in an hour and a half.

So what about 0.01% now that’s about 100 nmd or 10,000 kills. That’s starting to feel closer to a good number but it honestly still feels too easy. 10,000 racks up pretty quick in this game between doing dungeons and hell tides. The 6,666 cinders in the season journey went by pretty fast.

So maybe somewhere between 0.001 and 0.005 could be a sweet spot? Probably everyone would get at least one per season at that rate. I’m curious to hear some rational thoughts on this.

It was estimated open world uber drop rate was 1/800,000 or 0.000125%

So bumping it into the range I said would be a 10 fold increase. 1/80,000 I feel is realistic without it making Ubers feel too common.

In the context of 3 months seasons maybe 1/10th drop rate vs next tier of uniques e.g. tempest roar. If the game was persistent I would say 1/100th.

E: just to add that having probability tied to higher tier content makes sense to me. Like higher droprate in NMD 90+ for example.

In this sort of game, with a 3 month seasonal cycle. They are FAR FAR FAR too rare from duriel … let alone in the world content. lol

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So what would a good drop rate be in your mind? I feel you could get 80,000 kills before the half way point in a season.

Personally I’d like to feel continuous progress and not just get everything in the first week.

I also feel bad luck protection should be added into the calculations, at least for the target farming bosses. But that’s a different topic really.

80,000 duriel kills eh. Tell us you buy duriel mats, without telling us.

I’d be ok with half the drop rate of regular uniques but only in T100.

They didn’t say duriel kills. In fact the thread title was explicitly OUTSIDE DURIEL. At least spend 5 seconds reading before slandering someone lol.

He was responding directly to me genius…

Maybe spend 30 seconds reading the thread before angrily mashing your face against the keyboard?

Reading comprehension is not your strong suit eh. The title says outside of duriel. We’re talking Ubers dropping everywhere else in the game.