2 pits in a row. 40% chance to upgrade a glyph. Fails 4 times in a row. That is not RNG my good man. Maybe my NOT so good man.
Some nasty dice there.
Blizzard has such a trick. When it is profitable for them, they indicate the statistical percentage (in what number of cases it will work), and they also have a percentage of the work.
So here is the percentage of work.
Over 50% - works in 70% of cases. Below 50% works in 25-30% of cases. 10% in the best case works 1 time in 1000 cases. 50% almost the same chances, but more often 1 out of 3. The values ​​are thrown out each time, so it is better to have a larger interval of work.
That’s approximately it.
Working as intended sir
Is this real? I made this thread because their RNG being nonsense has been discussed before and to continue to bring awareness to it but are these real statistics you have posted?
It’s 1.7% chance. Or about 1 in 60.
(Edit Tks for checking my weekend numbers Kitchmann)
Just bad dice.
How many players and how many times total per season do you think there might be rolls of 40% 4 times twice or similar?
Someone’s gonna get those numbers. Can for sure feel like it shouldn’t happen, but people win lotto with much longer odds… only cause of the number of players.
I haven’t kept statistical records, but from observations it corresponds. In most cases you need 70% for constant work (my lightning wizard build works on this mechanic almost every season).
True, in the pit with 70% of triggers you will have 1/2, there is a difference between the displayed and the real. Observation 4 attempts and after one failures, which corresponds to 50%.
Remember you are not allowed to dig into the program code, so they can easily cheat.
Logical error. This is the chance when throwing dice (that is, the statistical chance if you throw 1600 pairs of dice at the same time). In fact, the more dice and more attempts, the lower the probability of a response.
This will already be 1/1000000000 in the best case.
Blizzard you sneaky snakes. Vile serpents of deception. Cowardly worms!
Insidious scheming gremlins!
Lol, Wish you the best of luck applying those math skills everywhere in life you need them
Well, well, friend. I don’t remember the formula itself, but I know that there are already degrees after the second order.
You have 4 orders, so the degree is at least 2-digit.
The fact that you don’t know this doesn’t mean that it’s not so.
In the mining of Electronic RNGs there is such a nuance as looping. As a result, the average and extreme values do not have equal chances of falling out. This is also treated with additional program code.
In 2005, this was one of my professor’s studies.
Super funny
You could save yourself risk of a ruptured aneurysm and just multiply 60% by itself 8 times.
It seems my friend you have never been told “now you can forget everything you were taught before”. Otherwise you would understand very well what I mean.
statistically insignificant.
reckon I’ve seen everything I need to see from our two interactions so far.
I wouldn’t want to be greedy and have too much of a good thing, trying for a third.
I wish you well in life.
i mean really. you cant be serious my guy. that exactly is rng. I mean… come on…
sorry your glyphs didnt upgrade. eventually your glyphs arent the main problem tho if you only got a 40% chance. after lvl 46 its mostly just additional damage with some very few multiplicative exceptions. So yea… what glyph level are you on as that your chance for an upgrade is 40% right now?
i think we will have some fun here in s8
My dear friend, A fool really needs little to be happy.
“The more I know, the more I understand how insignificant my knowledge is” - seems to be Democritus.
Yes. I agree. I’ll have to remember to monitor the forum from day 3 after the season launches. Something tells me that the main fun will be on the forum.
oh i wouldnt say the “main fun” but it will be fun. So many people will cry again about “how rough” leveling is. or… how “unfair” rng is
i tried the lottery btw… i didnt win a million bucks. fricking rng. so unfair.