How many 1 billion rings do i have to brick before getting the stats i want from tempering?

Or, to put it differently, was tempering properly tested and balanced?

I’ve bricked 3 rings in 1 week trying to get vulnerable damage and +poison imbue casts, and despite using the scroll of restoration believe it or not i didnt get both stats after 3 rings worth of tempers.

What the hell is happening? Hows this even possible?

I even choose the tempering manual where there’s a lower number of other possible stats but nothing, the game just doesnt want me to have the stats i need.

The odds are what, 1/4 each roll. With 7 attempts.

So about 13.3% ish chance to not get what you want in those rolls.

Though this one might be wrong seeing how there are two different things you roll for…

Wrong equation…

Not sure it works like that (1/4 odds each roll), some stats have quite big ranges so the stats don’t have an equal chance of appearing i believe.

For all we know there are two rolls, one for affix and one for range.

Otherwise there is probably the same amount of steps in the ranges of each roll so the odds would still be 1/4 for the affix you want.

Holy heck, now i feel even more defeated than i was already feeling XD

Correction, slapped it into a Binomial probability calculator, cause i can’t remember the formula… And got the result 31.1% chance to get the 2 affixes you want in 7 rolls.

or… is the number flipped? It decreases with the number of trials… Yeeeh too rusty on this kind of math. Oh no wait, that was the number for exactly 2.
The odds are in fact 55.5% in 7 attempts or 87% with a scroll!

And yeah those odds makes sense… 50% is a usual cutoff point for the math they use. Like in WoW under personal loot for raids, your chance to get the one item you want is 50% after 13 weeks, aka 4 months of subscription.