I agree. A few years ago, I started a Spreadsheet where I tracked all the same maps as above over 100 runs, and recorded each goblin found in each zone, and I came to the same conclusion. The area is not related to the type of goblins that spawn there with a few exceptions. I DO feel like Rainbows spawn more frequently in the Caverns of Frost, Defiled Crypts, and the Mysterious Cave. By that, I mean that the Rainbow to Normal Goblin ratio is higher in those areas, but I could be wrong.
However, there is a huge variation between the goblin spawn rates per map. Some maps spawn goblins very frequently, and other maps have a horrible spawn rate. That is how I settled on my current route.
One more thing to factor in is the map size and ease of navigation. For example, the Fields of Misery has a very high spawn rate, but the map is so large that it is still inefficient in terms of Goblins found/time spent looking for them.
Also for the Eastern Channels. There are about 3x as many dead ends as the Eastern channels and the map is 2x as large, but it has the same spawn rate as the Western Channels. It is still a good place to farm, but I get frustrated with all the dead ends, so I choose not to farm there. Same for Cathedral 4. too many dead ends, and the map is 2-3x as large as the others, but it has the same spawn rate.
I agree with everything in your post, and that has been my experience exactly, with the exception that I came to the conclusion that the spawn rate was 1%. But after only 100 runs, it is likely that either of our numbers is off. Also, I stopped recording data after 100 runs since it takes more time to type it all in than it does to actually find them.
Also, I noticed that I got a lot more Vaults from Blood goblins than from other types of goblins.