Orek's Dream Rifts

Hey, a couple of weeks ago, I had back-to-back Orek’s Dream rifts. What are the chances on that? Anyone else have this?

J

https://maxroll.gg/d3/resources/oreks-dream-explained
According to this article, rolling an Orek’s Dream has approximately less than 1% chance. So if you rolled them back to back without any normal Greater Rift in between, it’s really low as a fraction of a fraction of 0.01%.

However, I believe if you keep botching the Orek’s Dreams and leave without any significant progress, you may get a small boost in occurances. It could be random, but that’s my observation from play testing a few weak builds. Have you by any chance failed the Orek’s Dream and left to sink more keys?

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Yep I had this twice this season. That is on two separate occasions I had 2 in a row. I just assumed they had boosted the chances.

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Maxroll seems to have slightly outdated info since in patch 2.7.7 the chance of Orek’s Dream spawning was increased to 4%.

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And that’s right:

Orek’s Dream encounter rate buffed from 1 to 4%.

From Season 30 - The Lords of Hell

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Also something about probabilities: having back-to-back Orek’s dream probability (if you count only those occurences when you have at least 1 Orek’s dream) is exactly the same as having a single Orek’s dream (when you count all runs). It might make it feel it’s something extraordinary, when it actually isn’t super rare: every 1/25 Orek’s dream will be followed with a second Orek’s dream.

After pushing with some builds this season, I really would have wanted possibility to pay more keys etc for 100% sure Orek’s dream. This would have also been a good Gold sink. I’d pay 10x more than the extra gem update costs, and gold farming would make sense again.

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Simply give an option to pay 25 GR keys to open an Orek’s dream.

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No, in this instance, I completed the GR then opened another GR and got another Dream.

One time it was a back-to-back dream, then a regular gr, then a dream again. I thought that was weird, especially since I probably did 100’s more gr’s before getting another one.

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I just had 3 in a row. A GR 52, 55, and 58 gearing up my WD.

Yeah, after coming back to play season 33, oreks dream are everywhere… Idk if I’ve just been lucky, but feels like even the not-oreks rifts have woods, BF or fields way more often than it used to…

Back in my day pushing used to be difficult! :older_man: