I see a lot of posts saying "X runs and still no drop"

Two orders of magnitude. ~1.77% of not seeing a SGC in 600 runs.

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I’m reminded of people ranting on GD saying they couldn’t wait for Classic “because gear will be easier to get.”

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I see, looks like my drop rate (from Google’s first result) is wrong! That being said, that’s definitely very unlucky! I’ve edited my numbers to reflect this.