I received mine my first run when I wanted to check off killing Direbrew for my adventure log. I had no idea it was so rare, my condolences.
If it’s any consolation, you likely don’t need to be doing 20+ runs a day, since they changed how holiday drops work iirc where it’s only the high chance to get it on the first kill per account per day.
Yup. Wowhead says .4%. Point four percent. Even the ram and kodo have a drop rate of 2%. Hell, even Invincible’s Reins have a higher drop rate. This is insane for a holiday item, especially one no one will give a crap about next year when we’ve moved on from dragonriding, or more mounts are opened up for dragonriding. This was the only time this item could have been fun for a large part of the playerbase and they lock it behind a . 4 % drop rate.
I swear they have brain worms.
The saddle dropped for me last week. I had only been queueing once a day with this character.
I thought it was just some cheeky cosmetic drop like the Tankard O’ Terror. I didn’t realize people were actually farming this thing.
If it makes you feel any better OP, it’s a nice cosmetic, but definitely not worth farming it with 10+ characters a day.
Can’t believe I blew my luck getting this saddle instead of literally anything else. RNG is so fickle. 
Don’t worry, it’s only another 15 years before you’ll get the love rocket now.
Yes there is. Was datamined the other day. It’s a jack o lantern on the back.
My guess is will be as bad as the Brewfest saddle but not as bad as the Headless Horseman’s mount.
I’d want that even more. Guessing it will have a .04% drop rate.
/raises hand
Ill care. She better get it
I will admit, I do want the Hallow’s End one more, the keg just looks off, got last night.
I assume this is across all runs? Does it say what the drop percentage is on the first run of the day per account? Because it sure seems like lots of folks have gotten it on the first drop.
381 out of 107580 boss kills says wowhead. I’m actually kind of shocked I got one because I didn’t even do the boss every day, and only 1 time per day at that.
I luckily got mine, but there is no reason this should be such a low droprate. Its not a mount, its not a pet, its not a toy. Its a skin thats barely noticable on 1 mount.
Horrible decision making by the dev team.
Another 15 runs today.
Nothing.
Edit: 20 runs.
Edit: 25 runs.
It would seem that you have answered your own question. Blizzard knows this too.
I’m not a conspiracy theorist, but I’m almost, almost convinced they flag some of us as useful chumps who can’t get the drop but help keep the queues short.
I’ve been doing 9 a day for giggles since at least day 2 of brewfest.
I got the ram and kodo years ago so I was just going for the skin and the tokens so I could buy some more toys and the tabard this year.
Got a buttload of tankards, trinkets, some shanks and some remotes. That’s about it.
Did buy the brewfest shield and the tabard though so at least I got something.
this hits hard
I’m sorry to hear that. I probably did like 5 runs before I got the saddle. And tbh…it’s not like I even wanted it or care for it, so I feel a bit bad.
It’s just a barrel on a saddle. It’s not worth much to me. Running it casually. If it drops, it does. I don’t expect any of these new customizations to drop until long after I’m off this earth, lol.
Got it yesterday on first run of the day. Was surprised. Ran 14-15 alts a day. At least now I also have a lifetime suppy of beer mug maces.
The saddle art is fairly low res unfortunately.