Terran is bonkers strong vs Zerg (apparently)

I’ve said repeatedly that the new patch was a buff to Zerg, but the data is in and it looks like I was dead wrong.

https://imgur.com/a/7vAlPLS

This has been updated to include the most recent pro play. Every dot is a player with their performance rating per matchup vs their average performance. This allows us to compare how players of each race perform in each matchup. It’s split per race so that we can contrast how different races perform.

The interesting thing in these charts is definitely the “vs Zerg” on the Terran chart. It’s significantly higher than vs Protoss or vs Terran. This means Terrans in general typically have higher performance vs Zerg than they do vs Terran or Protoss. This indicates that terran is overperforming vs Zerg at the pro level and that this effect exaggerates with the skill level of the terran.

Other than the visualization that this chart provides, we can look at plain averages on a per-matchup basis:

Performance Rating vs Terran vs Protoss vs Zerg
Terran 295.6673098 270.262297 315.798573
Protoss 277.0834358 242.2385825 284.1524603
Zerg 283.3875755 258.1856456 289.1972139
  • This table shows each race’s average performance (as a race) vs another race. Zergs have an average of 283 vs Terran, and Terrans have an average of 316 vs Zerg.
Performance Rating Difference vs Terran vs Protoss vs Zerg
Terran 0 -6.821138807 32.41099745
Protoss 6.821138807 0 25.9668147
Zerg -32.41099745 -25.9668147 0
  • This table shows the difference between each race’s average performance. So it takes ZvT and subtracts TvZ for a total of -32. This means on average Terrans perform 32 points better than Zergs in the TvZ matchup.
Performance Difference as % of Average Performance vs Terran vs Protoss vs Zerg
Terran 0 -4.64166097 22.0550946
Protoss 5.09373152 0 19.3908944
Zerg -23.4079086 -18.7537834 0
  • This table shows the difference as a percentage of the average. Zergs on average are disadvantaged by a factor of 23.4% in ZvT.
  • Other than ZvT, Zerg is also apparently struggling vs Protoss too with a -18.8%.
  • This clearly shows that Zerg is the weakest race at the pro level and quite likely will need buffs. This is what happens when you nerf a race because Serral is winning with it. Nobody can play it anymore except for serral.
4 Likes

Terrans dislike to fight vs Protoss.

Zergs dislike to fight vs Protoss.

Protoss dislike to fight vs Protoss \o/


Terrans prefer to fight vs Zergs.

Protoss prefer to fight vs Zergs.

Zergs prefer to fight vs Zergs \o/

8 Likes

My tvz went from 40 to 60,tvp from 50 to 72 per cent this season, my tvt from 66 to 45
:thinking:

1 Like

It’s just hard to believe any of your cherry pocked stats.

You are like the boy who cried wolf.

Maybe some day you will have a statistic that is note-worthy, but because you cried about zerg even when they were winning the majority of premier tournaments, then nothing on the planet could ever satisfy you about this matchup.

Absolutely nothing. If this previous year didn’t satisfy you when zergs won everything…nothing, and I mean absolutely nothing, ever will satisfy you.

12 Likes

…please get a life

7 Likes

What other outcome could there have been when they gutted infestor, took away broodlord range micro, and triple nerfed nydus all while buffing the hell out of thors and libs.

5 Likes

Where are these stats taken from?
-Source
-What tournaments are they taken from
-Are they all from post patch?
-How many of these wins where affected by the patch
-What strategies seem to be too strong vs zerg.
-What maps seem to be bad for zerg potentially resulting in worse performance
-Are these stats reliable (Patch just came out less than a month ago with big meta changes at least for tvz).

4 Likes

you’re usually dead wrong, you just don’t like to admit it.

Posted in a thread where batz admits he’s wrong in the first sentences. :face_with_monocle::face_with_monocle::face_with_monocle:

2 Likes

Batz didn’t admit anything. He said he thought zerg had a leg up to make his next block of arguments more believable.

Do you really think Batz ever thought terran wasn’t OP? His opening line is less truthful than a politician speech.

1 Like

You need to look up the definitions to terms before using them. It’s clear you have no clue what “cherry picking” means.

Nobody cares if serral can win tournaments when nobody else on the planet can play zerg.

Switch “nobody” with “everyone”

Elazor GSL vs the world finals LOL.

1 Like

Thanks for admitting you don’t care if 99.999% of zerg are enormously disadvantaged and that you only care about serral as a pretext for nerfing zerg into oblivion.

Serral, Reynor, Elazor finals, Dark, Rogue, etc.

Pretty much any zerg that wanted to win a tournament had their time this year.

ZvZvZvZvZ finals.

4 Likes

Zerg should be removed from game for year to let T and P win some games too.

Better yet balance it, but thats beyond BliZvZard.

2 Likes

Random zerg player like Armani can take 1 game to TY and Maru (WESG KOR Qualifier) but random terran can’t take one game to Serral or Reynor or Dark or Rogue. But yes, the match up is fair LOL …

1 Like

Blockquote
Nobody can play it anymore except for serral.

Nerf Serral.

Who are you and what have you done with the real rabiDrone?

Hey guys, maybe you should keep up with the times? Zerg just got nerfed, for the second time this year, so don’t bring pre-nerf events into this please.

1 Like

CALM DOWN rabbit

Wait to see after 1st toruney after patch that was HSC who will win, will Z disappear or the same story? I say same story