How could SR possibly chase MMR

[Kaawumba-1133]

@Jorlan-11595

I would agree MMR for most players is now consistent with SR, and that after 13 seasons the “calibration” certainty assists this. This quote doesn’t change the idea that SR and MMR can go out of whack, or my theory on how that causes the bizarre win/loss streaks.

Keep in mind that 3000+ Skill Rating Data and Analysis (now including DCs) puts limits on how much SR can diverge from MMR without it being obvious. From the decay plot, the difference in points gained on victory vs points lost on defeat is (SR - hidden SR) * 0.1274, or 6.37 if SR - hidden SR = 50.

@Jorlan-11595

That being said, this transcript doesn’t quite read right for me. For some reason it reads more like a memory of what someone thought was said.

If you read through all of it, not just the snippet about MMR, it looks pretty authentic to me. There is some fuzzy language, but that’s probably because it was originally spoken rather than written.