If a game is supposed to be a 50% chance of winning or losing. Then when you get to your SR you start the infamous oscillating of win 2 lose 2 win 2 lose 2. Then thats NOT a 50% chance of winning is it? If i take a coin and flip it 10 times, what are the chances of it coming up head head tails tails head head tails tails?
You could convince me that the match maker actually calculated 50% matches if the devation was random over like…10 to 15 games. But it just goes win win lose lose win win lose lose.
The match maker will give you matches below 50% chance of winning to bring you to your SR and give you above 50% to bring you back to were it thinks you belong. Its why its sooo streaky and consistent. its why there are stomps and there are games you couldnt carry on your best day.